Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 22

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Havant & Waterlooville		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.75	3.5
	1.83	3.6	3.4
	1.87	3.75	3.6	Watch
	1.92	4.07	3.65
	1.86	4.07	3.65
	1.8	3.6	3.5
	1.79	3.84	3.8
	1.85	3.7	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.72)	3.8 ↑ (3.6)	3.57 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havant & Waterlooville
49.9%

Draw
24.2%

Dover Athletic
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

25.2%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

24.1%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havant & Waterlooville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Dover Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Havant & Waterlooville, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Havant & Waterlooville - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Havant won 1.

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Havant could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Havant have a series of guest games.

Havant will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Havant won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Havant won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havant & Waterlooville
English National League South
28.11.23	Maidstone United - Havant & Waterlooville	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Tonbridge Angels - Havant & Waterlooville	4:1 ✺
21.11.23	Slough Town - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Totton - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1 ✺
English National League South
11.11.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Torquay United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dover Athletic
English National League South
25.11.23	Dover Athletic - Weston-super-Mare	0:1 ✺
21.11.23	Dover Athletic - Eastbourne Borough	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Dover Athletic - Weymouth	4:5 penalties ✺
English National League South
14.11.23	Maidstone United - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Yeovil Town - Dover Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
28.02.23	Dover Athletic - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0
20.08.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Dover Athletic	4:2
English National League
26.01.19	Havant & Waterlooville - Dover Athletic	0:0
English FA Trophy
08.01.19	Havant & Waterlooville - Dover Athletic	0:1
15.12.18	Dover Athletic - Havant & Waterlooville	2:2
English National League
14.08.18	Dover Athletic - Havant & Waterlooville	4:3
English FA Trophy
10.01.15	Havant & Waterlooville - Dover Athletic	0:1

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