Match Info

National League South - Round 34

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Dover Athletic		Weston-super-Mare

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.08
	3.16	3.58	2.08
	3.12	3.67	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.1
	3.1	3.4	2.07
	3.14	3.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (3.03)	3.51 ↓ (3.78)	2.08 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
29.5%

Draw
26.2%

Weston-super-Mare
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

24.5%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

24.4%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Dover Athletic - Weston super Mare Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Mensah J. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Coulson L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dover won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Dover may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Weston-super-Mare will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dover won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dover won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Weston-super-Mare: 4.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Weston-super-Mare	10	5	2	3	18:10	8	17
8	Dover	10	5	2	3	17:16	1	17

Last Results with these Odds

Weston-super-Mare - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.83%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English National League South
10.02.26	Dorking Wanderers - Dover Athletic	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Dover Athletic - Worthing	1:1 ✺
03.02.26	Dover Athletic - Torquay United	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Totton - Dover Athletic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTLWL
- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
14.02.26	Weston-super-Mare - Eastbourne Borough	3:1 ✺
10.02.26	Slough Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Worthing - Weston-super-Mare	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Weston-super-Mare - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Chelmsford City - Weston-super-Mare	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
22.11.25	Weston-super-Mare - Dover Athletic	1:2
09.03.24	Weston-super-Mare - Dover Athletic	1:0
25.11.23	Dover Athletic - Weston-super-Mare	0:1
22.02.14	Weston-super-Mare - Dover Athletic	2:1
14.09.13	Dover Athletic - Weston-super-Mare	1:2
16.02.13	Weston-super-Mare - Dover Athletic	0:3
24.11.12	Dover Athletic - Weston-super-Mare	3:1

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