Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 20

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Slough Town		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	3.75
	1.83	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.87	4.01	3.84
	1.81	4.01	3.84
	1.83	3.6	3.4
	1.79	3.9	3.76
	1.84	3.65	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.71)	3.77 ↑ (3.75)	3.7 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slough Town
50.7%

Draw
24.4%

Havant & Waterlooville
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

24%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

19.6%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slough Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slough Town than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slough Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Slough Town - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Slough will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Havant will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Slough won 2.

Recent matches Slough is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Havant has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Havant could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Slough will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Slough won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Slough won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slough Town
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Slough Town - Farnborough	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.11.23	Grimsby Town - Slough Town	7:2 ✺
English National League South
11.11.23	Welling United - Slough Town	4:3 ✺
07.11.23	Slough Town - Truro City	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Slough Town - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLWT
- Havant & Waterlooville
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Totton - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1 ✺
English National League South
11.11.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Torquay United	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	Worthing - Havant & Waterlooville	3:0 ✺
04.11.23	Braintree Town - Havant & Waterlooville	4:1 ✺
28.10.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
10.12.22	Slough Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:3
06.08.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Slough Town	3:1
26.02.22	Slough Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1
English FA Trophy
27.11.21	Slough Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0
English National League South
23.10.21	Havant & Waterlooville - Slough Town	1:2
09.12.20	Havant & Waterlooville - Slough Town	0:0
26.02.20	Havant & Waterlooville - Slough Town	1:0

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