Match Info

Date: 28 February 2020, Friday


	Hawkes Bay United		Southern United

	1	X	2
	2	4	2.75
	1.87	3.75	2.88
	1.82	4.07	2.98
	1.92	4.6	3.04
	2	4	2.75
	1.95	4.1	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 (1.93)	4.09 ↑ (4)	2.91 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawkes Bay United
46.9%

Draw
22.1%

Southern United
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

22.6%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

16.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Hawkes Bay United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Southern United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawkes Bay United than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hawkes Bay United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southern United than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southern United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hawkes Bay United - Southern United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawkes Bay United
New Zealand Premiership
08.02.20	Hawkes Bay United - Canterbury United	2:1 ✺
01.02.20	Tasman United - Hawkes Bay United	3:1 ✺
25.01.20	Hawkes Bay United - Wellington Phoenix 2	0:2 ✺
18.01.20	Auckland City - Hawkes Bay United	4:2 ✺
11.01.20	Team Wellington - Hawkes Bay United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLL
- Southern United
New Zealand Premiership
14.02.20	Southern United - Waitakere United	2:1 ✺
08.02.20	Hamilton Academical - Southern United	1:1 ✺
01.02.20	Eastern Suburbs - Southern United	6:0 ✺
24.01.20	Southern United - Canterbury United	2:1 ✺
17.01.20	Tasman United - Southern United	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Premiership
07.12.19	Southern United - Hawkes Bay United	2:2
09.03.19	Southern United - Hawkes Bay United	2:2
08.12.18	Hawkes Bay United - Southern United	3:2
16.03.18	Hawkes Bay United - Southern United	1:3
18.11.17	Southern United - Hawkes Bay United	2:1
03.03.17	Hawkes Bay United - Southern United	2:1
09.12.16	Southern United - Hawkes Bay United	0:3

Hawkes Bay United - Southern United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide