Match Info

Date: 13 February 2021, Saturday


	Hawkes Bay United		Wellington Phoenix 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	4	3.1
	1.74	3.75	3.25
	1.72	4.1	3.5
	1.78	4.64	3.7
	1.78	4	3.5
	1.76	4.3	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2)	4.13 ↑ (3.71)	3.44 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawkes Bay United
51.4%

Draw
22.1%

Wellington Phoenix 2
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

24.3%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

19.1%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawkes Bay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hawkes Bay United's performance.

Wellington Phoenix 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawkes Bay United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hawkes Bay United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix 2 than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Hawkes Bay United - Wellington Phoenix 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 7 and 8).

Recent matches Hawke's Bay United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wellington Phoenix Reserves is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hawke's Bay United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Hawke's Bay United won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 28-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Hawke's Bay United won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawkes Bay United
New Zealand Premiership
05.02.21	Canterbury United - Hawkes Bay United	2:1 ✺
30.01.21	Hawkes Bay United - Auckland City	0:4 ✺
23.01.21	Hamilton Academical - Hawkes Bay United	1:4 ✺
16.01.21	Hawkes Bay United - Team Wellington	2:2 ✺
09.01.21	Eastern Suburbs - Hawkes Bay United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.9 LLWTW
- Wellington Phoenix 2
New Zealand Premiership
05.02.21	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Hamilton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
30.01.21	Eastern Suburbs - Wellington Phoenix 2	8:0 ✺
23.01.21	Team Wellington - Wellington Phoenix 2	5:2 ✺
16.01.21	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Waitakere United	1:1 ✺
08.01.21	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Canterbury United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Premiership
11.12.20	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Hawkes Bay United	3:0
25.01.20	Hawkes Bay United - Wellington Phoenix 2	0:2
09.11.19	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Hawkes Bay United	3:4
16.03.19	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Hawkes Bay United	3:1
05.01.19	Hawkes Bay United - Wellington Phoenix 2	4:1
12.01.18	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Hawkes Bay United	2:3
22.10.17	Hawkes Bay United - Wellington Phoenix 2	0:0

Hawkes Bay United - Wellington Phoenix 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide