Match Info

Date: 14 February 2020, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Southern United		Waitakere United

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.9	2.45
	2.14	3.95	2.33
	2.37	4.45	2.44
	2.36	4.08	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.18)	4.1 ↓ (4.24)	2.42 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southern United
40%

Draw
22.3%

Waitakere United
37.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

21.4%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

16.7%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southern United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Waitakere United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southern United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waitakere United than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waitakere United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Southern United - Waitakere United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southern United
New Zealand Premiership
08.02.20	Hamilton Academical - Southern United	1:1 ✺
01.02.20	Eastern Suburbs - Southern United	6:0 ✺
24.01.20	Southern United - Canterbury United	2:1 ✺
17.01.20	Tasman United - Southern United	5:0 ✺
10.01.20	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Southern United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLWLT
- Waitakere United
New Zealand Premiership
07.02.20	Waitakere United - Eastern Suburbs	1:0 ✺
01.02.20	Canterbury United - Waitakere United	1:2 ✺
24.01.20	Waitakere United - Tasman United	3:2 ✺
18.01.20	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Waitakere United	3:4 ✺
10.01.20	Waitakere United - Auckland City	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Premiership
29.11.19	Waitakere United - Southern United	2:5
02.02.19	Southern United - Waitakere United	2:1
17.11.18	Waitakere United - Southern United	1:1
27.01.18	Southern United - Waitakere United	1:0
11.11.17	Waitakere United - Southern United	1:2
20.01.17	Southern United - Waitakere United	1:3
05.11.16	Waitakere United - Southern United	2:2

Southern United - Waitakere United

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Southern United - Waitakere United Predictions

Form

Latest Head to Head

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