Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 18

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Georgi Benkovski (Pazardzhik)


	Hebar Pazardzhik		Sevlievo

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.4	3.65
	1.83	3.49	3.65
	1.75	3.49	4.37	Watch
	1.81	3.38	3.96
	1.64	3.66	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.41)	3.48 ↓ (3.8)	3.99 ↓ (6.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebar Pazardzhik
51.2%

Draw
26%

Sevlievo
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

23.4%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

16.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hebar Pazardzhik's form might have worsened.

Sevlievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sevlievo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hebar Pazardzhik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevlievo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	0%	46.7%

Hebar Pazardzhik - Sevlievo Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Hebar will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Sevlievo will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hebar: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Hebar (votes: 3 - 30%). Sevlievo (votes: 7 - 70%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Sevlievo (1.94) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Sevlievo (3.48) (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DC - Sevlievo (1.86) (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Hebar (votes: 3 - 10.3%). Sevlievo (votes: 26 - 89.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Yankov M. (G) 29. Angelov Y. 24. Bozhurkin B. 18. Kalchev D. 2. Kamenov S. 20. Lyubenov V. 21. Malamov S. 77. Pavlov K. 9. Petrov A. 7. Tsvetanov M. 17. Valchev G.	76. Lalev H. (G) 23. Banev M. 16. Dobrev S. 9. Evgeniev Kolev E. 5. Ganev P. 11. Gyasi E. 6. Karagiannis C. 18. Kepov P. 14. Nikolov G. 8. Rodopski R. 4. Seck P. M.
Substitutes
19. Dadakov M. 23. Dishkov I. 10. Dotsev V. 1. Gruev B. (G) 27. Ichev N. 55. Kuzev E. 70. Mechev S. 14. Velchev K.	19. Borisov N. 29. Kasov Y. 45. Makaveev S. 12. Pantev D. (G) 93. Petrov D. 10. Ramirez Montoya S. 21. Tsvetanov V. 3. Yankov N. 1. Zlatinov N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
25', 🟨,
39', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
79', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Hebar is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sevlievo is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Hebar is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hebar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
22.11.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Sportist Svoge	0:3 ✺
16.11.25	Marek Dupnitsa - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
29.10.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Levski Sofia	0:3 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
25.10.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLT
- FC Sevlievo
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
22.11.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Sevlievo	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Sevlievo - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Belasitsa Petrich - Sevlievo	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Sevlievo - Dunav Ruse	0:2 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
29.10.25	Sevlievo - CSKA Sofia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
26.07.25	Sevlievo - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:2

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