Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 16

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Bonchuk (Dupnitsa)


	Marek Dupnitsa		Hebar Pazardzhik

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.05	3.45
	2	3.39	3.6
	2.34	3.06	3.00	Watch
	1.99	3.1	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.29)	3.15 ↑ (3.05)	3.42 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marek Dupnitsa
44%

Draw
29.1%

Hebar Pazardzhik
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.5%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

30.2%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marek Dupnitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marek Dupnitsa than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Marek Dupnitsa - Hebar Pazardzhik Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Marek will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Hebar will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kostadinov K. (G) 9. Dimitrov I. 14. Dzhadzharov H. 88. George E. 44. Kaymakanski H. 33. Kirilov D. 94. Nenov Y. 2. Nikolov B. 99. Vakadinov B. 77. Veshev S. 8. Yordanov V.	1. Gruev B. (G) 29. Angelov Y. 19. Dadakov M. 15. Dikov S. 10. Dotsev V. 8. Ganchev N. 55. Haydarov M. 21. Malamov S. 7. Tsvetanov M. 17. Valchev G. 20. Van Dyke S.
Substitutes
19. Kouakou W. 12. Mladenov P. (G) 5. Nanitelamio R. 13. Nikiforov K. 55. Plyakov N. 27. Todorov N. 6. Yanev V. 18. Yordanov R. 10. Zakonov D.	24. Bozhurkin B. 18. Kalchev D. 2. Kamenov S. 77. Pavlov K. 9. Petrov A. 5. Radev T. 88. Tisovski S. 14. Velchev K. 99. Veselinov T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
12', 🟨,
27', 🟨,
42', 🟥,
42', 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7).

Recent performances by Marek have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hebar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marek may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marek won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Marek won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
08.11.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Marek Dupnitsa	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Marek Dupnitsa - Pirin Blagoevgrad	3:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
29.10.25	Marek Dupnitsa - Montana	1:4 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
25.10.25	Belasitsa Petrich - Marek Dupnitsa	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Marek Dupnitsa - Dunav Ruse	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLWT
- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
08.11.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
29.10.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Levski Sofia	0:3 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
25.10.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Pirin Blagoevgrad	4:2 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
12.10.25	Metalurg Pernik - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
14.05.22	Hebar Pazardzhik - Marek Dupnitsa	3:0
19.11.21	Marek Dupnitsa - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:0

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