Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: efbet Arena (Burgas)


	Chernomorets Burgas		Hebar Pazardzhik

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.35	4.45
	1.77	3.44	4.22	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.01	Watch
	1.76	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.77)	3.4 (3.4)	4.17 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernomorets Burgas
51.6%

Draw
26.7%

Hebar Pazardzhik
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.7%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

28.6%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernomorets Burgas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Burgas than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (-1%)

Chernomorets Burgas - Hebar Pazardzhik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Todorov D. (G) 4. Avramov D. 13. Correia 3. Drame Y. 21. Esuma F. 10. Kostadinov D. 29. Krastev K. 27. Mitev H. 19. Pavlov D. 87. Traykov S. 17. Tsonev M.	99. Yankov M. (G) 29. Angelov Y. 15. Dikov S. 8. Ganchev N. 2. Kamenov S. 20. Lyubenov V. 27. Mazan R. 11. Rusinov I. 7. Tsvetanov M. 17. Valchev G. 88. Van Dyke S.
Substitutes
11. Dobrev K. 6. Georgiev P. 7. Hyusein H. 12. Kaishev M. (G) 33. Kostenski R. 9. Petkov Z. 15. Slavov S. 22. Stefanov S.	10. Dotsev V. 1. Gruev B. (G) 55. Haydarov M. 18. Kalchev D. 21. Malamov S. 70. Mechev S. 77. Pavlov K. 9. Petrov A. 5. Radev T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Krastev K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).

Chernomorets Burgas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Hebar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Chernomorets Burgas has had a series of away games.

In this match, Chernomorets Burgas is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Hebar Pazardzhik - the odds 4.09 are the expected chance of winning is 22.15%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chernomorets Burgas
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
19.10.25	Ludogorets II - Chernomorets Burgas	4:2 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
12.10.25	Lovech - Chernomorets Burgas	0:5 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
04.10.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Chernomorets Burgas	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Belasitsa Petrich	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Dunav Ruse - Chernomorets Burgas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLTL
- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.10.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Pirin Blagoevgrad	4:2 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
12.10.25	Metalurg Pernik - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:8 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
04.10.25	Belasitsa Petrich - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:1 ✺
29.09.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Dunav Ruse	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Vihren Sandanski - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLL

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