The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hebei CFFC 17.5%
Draw 26.2%
Guangzhou Evergrande 56.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.3%
27.4%
45.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.2%
28.6%
47.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hebei CFFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hebei CFFC's form might have worsened.
Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangzhou Evergrande's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebei CFFC than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hebei CFFC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangzhou Evergrande, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
11.1%
66.7%
Hebei CFFC - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Hebei will win (votes: 10 - 22.2%). Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 30 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guangzhou Evergrande: 52.9% – 80.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Neutral location - Puwan Stadium.
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).
Hebei has the most likely position - 11 (100%), has project points - 33, has currently - 33, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.
Guangzhou Evergrande has the most likely position - 1 (100%), has project points - 72, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, was already of win league.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hebei won 0.
The competitors look crappy now.
Guangzhou Evergrande could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Hebei have a series of guest games.
In this match Guangzhou Evergrande is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Hebei won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 9-30.
Including matches at home between the teams Hebei won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-14.