Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 28 June 2023, Wednesday


	Heilongjiang Ice City		Dandong Tengyue

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	5.75
	1.5	3.65	5.85
	1.6	3.79	5.91
	1.52	3.3	6.5
	1.55	3.68	6.3
	1.45	3.85	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (2.03)	3.66 ↑ (3.11)	6.15 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heilongjiang Ice City
60.2%

Draw
25%

Dandong Tengyue
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

30.1%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

29.9%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heilongjiang Ice City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heilongjiang Ice City's performance.

Dandong Tengyue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dandong Tengyue might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heilongjiang Ice City than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heilongjiang Ice City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandong Tengyue than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dandong Tengyue could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.6%	3.4%	0%

Heilongjiang Ice City - Dandong Tengyue Predictions

Users Predictions: Heilongjiang Ice City will win (28 of 29 users predict this - 96.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.91% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Yerzat Y. (G) 2. Zhang Yujie 15. Zhang Yixuan 40. Vidic N. 29. Xu Jiajun 6. Tursunjan Ahmat 18. Fan Bojian 33. Zhang Zimin 28. Shao Shuai 10. Muhtar Ular 11. Erikys	12. Han Zhen (G) 28. Lu Yuefeng 18. Li Xiaoting 3. Zhang Hui 40. Liu Zhizhi 9. Kovacevic M. 5. Qiu Tianyi 8. Gao Haisheng 11. Zimin Nuali 17. Liao Wei 25. Li Chenguang
Substitutes
17. Cai H. 21. Kurban E. 3. Li Boyang 31. Li Guanxi (G) 9. Romario 14. Wang Jinpeng 20. Zhang P. 43. Zou Q.	44. Abdukerim Qaharman 20. Cui Hao 21. Dong Kaining 23. Dujardin R. 1. Kou Jiahao (G) 27. Liao Haochuan 33. Liu Bin 43. Zhang Jialun 7. Zhang Liang

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 10).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Heilongjiang Ice City is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heilongjiang Ice City
Chinese FA Cup
24.06.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Nantong Zhiyun	0:3 ✺
Chinese Jia League
18.06.23	Yanbian Longding - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:1 ✺
10.06.23	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Liaoning Tieren - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
30.05.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLWW
- Dandong Tengyue
Chinese FA Cup
23.06.23	Dandong Tengyue - Qingdao Hainiu	1:2 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
17.06.23	Nanjing City - Dandong Tengyue	1:0 ✺
11.06.23	Dandong Tengyue - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	Qingdao West Coast - Dandong Tengyue	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
31.05.23	Hubei Istar - Dandong Tengyue	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTTW

Heilongjiang Ice City - Dandong Tengyue: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide