Match Info

CHINA: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday


	Heilongjiang Ice City		Nantong Zhiyun

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.3
	2.03	3.21	3.63
	2.05	3.25	3.2
	2	3.45	3.5	Watch
	2.06	3.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (3.61)	3.28 ↓ (3.38)	3.32 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heilongjiang Ice City
44.7%

Draw
27.8%

Nantong Zhiyun
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

26.9%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

24.4%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heilongjiang Ice City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heilongjiang Ice City's performance.

Nantong Zhiyun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nantong Zhiyun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heilongjiang Ice City than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heilongjiang Ice City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nantong Zhiyun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Heilongjiang Ice City - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Heilongjiang will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heilongjiang: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heilongjiang Ice City won 2.

Heilongjiang Ice City is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nantong Zhiyun is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Heilongjiang Ice City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Heilongjiang Ice City won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Heilongjiang Ice City won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heilongjiang Ice City
Chinese Jia League
18.06.23	Yanbian Longding - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:1 ✺
10.06.23	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Liaoning Tieren - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
30.05.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur	3:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
27.05.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Ningbo Professional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWWW
- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Super League
09.06.23	Shanghai Port - Nantong Zhiyun	2:1 ✺
04.06.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Qingdao Hainiu	1:0 ✺
27.05.23	Chengdu Rongcheng - Nantong Zhiyun	1:0 ✺
23.05.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Wuhan Three Towns	0:5 ✺
19.05.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Shenzhen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
03.12.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:2
09.11.22	Heilongjiang Ice City - Nantong Zhiyun	0:3
Chinese FA Cup
19.08.21	Nantong Zhiyun - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:6
Chinese Jia League
31.07.21	Heilongjiang Ice City - Nantong Zhiyun	0:0
11.07.21	Nantong Zhiyun - Heilongjiang Ice City	4:3
24.10.20	Heilongjiang Ice City - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1
15.10.20	Nantong Zhiyun - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:1

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