Match Info

Jia League - Round 9

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: Pingguo Stadium (Pingguo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao		Foshan Nanshi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3	3.6
	1.97	3.1	3.7	Watch
	2.02	3.1	4.09
	2.02	3.09	4.08	Watch
	2	3	3.7
	1.95	2.99	3.97	Watch
	1.97	3.1	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.14)	3.05 ↑ (3.05)	3.83 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
46.2%

Draw
30%

Foshan Nanshi
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

30.1%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

25.4%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Foshan Nanshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangxi Pingguo Haliao that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Foshan Nanshi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Foshan Nanshi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangxi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. He Lipan (C) 28. Chen Shaohao 3. Zhang Hui 45. Huang Wei 7. Zhang Ran 17. Yang Jingfan 33. Ding Quancheng 6. Ge Hailun 10. Asamoah S. 9. Mateus 8. Hu Jiajin	12. Yang Chao (G) 30. Wong K. 29. Sun Xiaobin 17. Maslac M. 35. He Mingli 13. Zhang Xingbo 15. Chen Jie 7. Albarracin N. 6. Chen Guokang 27. Zheng Junwei 10. Fortes C.
Substitutes
19. Chen Quanjiang 25. Chen Shihao 29. Fu Shang 23. Han Zhen (G) 20. Jiang Zhengjie 24. Jin Jian 39. Lu Chenghe 30. Wang Lingke 18. Yang Hang 14. Yao Younan 31. Zhang Song 16. Zhang Zili	9. Chang Feiya 16. Hua Mingcan 39. Li Bowen 19. Ou Xueqian 37. Qin Haoqing (G) 24. Wu Yuchen 26. Yao-hsing Yu 31. Yao Hui 28. Zhang Zhihao 8. Zhang Zichao
Coaches
Maeda K.	Wang Hongwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Fortes C. ⚽, Maslac M. (A),
39', Ge Hailun ↓, Zhang Zili ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ding Quancheng ↓, Chen Quanjiang ↑,
46', Yang Jingfan ↓, Jiang Zhengjie ↑,
63', Chen Jie ↓, Wu Yuchen ↑,
63', Albarracin N. ↓, Yao-hsing Yu ↑,
73', Asamoah S. ↓, Fu Shang ↑,
79', Wong K. ↓, Hua Mingcan ↑,
90', Chen Guokang ↓, Li Bowen ↑,
90+2', Zhang Hui ↓, Yao Younan ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', Fortes C. ↓, Ou Xueqian ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 14).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Guangxi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guangxi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Guangxi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
10.05.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:4 ✺
03.05.25	Dalian Kun City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Dingnan United - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:2 ✺
23.04.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.04.25	Nantong Haimen Codion - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTLW
- Foshan Nanshi
Chinese Jia League
11.05.25	Foshan Nanshi - Nanjing City	1:3 ✺
04.05.25	Foshan Nanshi - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Foshan Nanshi	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Foshan Nanshi - Dingnan United	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.04.25	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Foshan Nanshi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
16.09.24	Foshan Nanshi - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:1
27.04.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Foshan Nanshi	2:1

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