Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 7

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Yutong International Sports Center (Shijiazhuang)

Referee: Wei L. (Chn)


	Shijiazhuang Gongfu		Heilongjiang Ice City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.41	3.8	7.25
	1.44	3.75	7.5	Watch
	1.43	4.09	8.12
	1.44	4.09	8.13
	1.36	3.9	8
	1.43	3.94	7.8	Watch
	1.42	3.85	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.51)	3.92 ↑ (3.72)	7.74 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
64.7%

Draw
23.4%

Heilongjiang Ice City
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

24.7%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

23.5%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Heilongjiang Ice City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heilongjiang Ice City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Heilongjiang Ice City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Li Guanxi (G) 14. Ma Chongchong 2. Zhang Chenliang 19. Liu H. 20. Liu Le 25. Abdukerim O. 15. Xu Yue 10. An Yifei 8. Ayovi J. 7. Kovacevic M. 28. Bouli R.	24. Yang C. (G) 19. Xu H. 4. Zhao Chengle 23. Li Xiaoting 16. Zhou Pinxi 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 15. Ablimit Subi 22. Ma Yujun 10. Tang Shi 9. Allan Paulista 18. Fan Bojian
Substitutes
21. Bu Xin 24. Chen Zhexuan 9. Gui Hong 36. Mo R. 32. Nan Yunqi 1. Nie Xuran (G) 5. Song Zhiwei 33. Wang Song 26. You Wenjie 6. Zhang Junzhe 37. Zhang Sipeng (G) 11. Zhu Haiwei	37. Abdugheni Ilaldin 21. Chen Yi 34. Ghojaehmet Shahzat 42. Liang P. 3. Li Boyang 13. Li S. (G) 11. Montano I. 28. Shao Shuai 17. Yan Yu 20. Zhang J. 33. Zhang Zimin
Coaches
Jankovic Z.	Jia S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Bouli R. ⚽,
35', Li Xiaoting 🟨,
36', Tang Shi ↓, Yan Yu ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Li Xiaoting ↓, Liang P. ↑,
46', Xu Yue ↓, Wang Song ↑,
57', Zhao Chengle 🟨,
73', Ma Chongchong ↓, Zhang Junzhe ↑,
74', Ma Yujun ↓, Ghojaehmet Shahzat ↑,
75', Zhou Pinxi 🟨,
82', Zhu Jiaxuan ↓, Zhang Zimin ↑,
82', Allan Paulista ↓, Montano I. ↑,
83', Kovacevic M. ↓, Zhu Haiwei ↑,
90', Ayovi J. ↓, Song Zhiwei ↑,
90+1', Zhang Zimin 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 14).

Recent matches Shijiazhuang Gongfu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Heilongjiang Ice City is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Heilongjiang Ice City have a series of guest games.

In this match Shijiazhuang Gongfu is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
13.04.24	Yanbian Longding - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Qingdao Red Lions	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWWL
- Heilongjiang Ice City
Chinese Jia League
14.04.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Jiangxi Lushan	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Nanjing City - Heilongjiang Ice City	3:2 ✺
30.03.24	Dalian Young Boy - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Yunnan Yukun - Heilongjiang Ice City	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
18.10.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:0
01.07.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	2:3
25.11.22	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:0
31.10.22	Heilongjiang Ice City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1

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