Match Info

CHINA: FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Location: Taishan (Tchaj-an)


	Taian Tiankuang		Foshan Nanshi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.4
	2.88	2.9	2.38
	2.8	3	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (3.45)	2.95 ↓ (3)	2.44 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taian Tiankuang
32.3%

Draw
30.6%

Foshan Nanshi
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

30.6%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

29.3%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taian Tiankuang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taian Tiankuang's performance.

Foshan Nanshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Foshan Nanshi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taian Tiankuang than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taian Tiankuang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Foshan Nanshi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Taian Tiankuang - Foshan Nanshi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Huang Chuqi ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 2, Li Jiaheng ⚽,
75', 0 - 3, Li Jiaheng ⚽,
86', Yasinjan Ihsan (Pen),
89', Deng Chunze (Pen),

Preview

Recent matches Taian Tiankuang is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Foshan Nanshi is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Foshan Nanshi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taian Tiankuang
Chinese Yi League
11.05.24	Dalian Kun City - Taian Tiankuang	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Taian Tiankuang - Beijing Institute of Technology	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Shaanxi Union - Taian Tiankuang	4:0 ✺
15.04.24	Taian Tiankuang - Hubei Istar	0:1 ✺
10.04.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Taian Tiankuang	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTLLW
- Foshan Nanshi
Chinese Jia League
12.05.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Foshan Nanshi	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Foshan Nanshi - Wuxi Wugou	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Foshan Nanshi	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Foshan Nanshi - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:4 ✺
13.04.24	Nanjing City - Foshan Nanshi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLLT

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