Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 19

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Harbin International Convention and Exhibition Centre Stadium (Harbin)


	Heilongjiang Ice City		Qingdao West Coast

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.61
	5.75	3.7	1.5
	4.56	3.52	1.81
	5.8	4	1.44
	4.8	3.88	1.64	Watch
	4.6	3.75	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5 ↑ (2.95)	3.74 ↑ (3.26)	1.6 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heilongjiang Ice City
18.3%

Draw
24.5%

Qingdao West Coast
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

28.7%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

28.4%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heilongjiang Ice City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heilongjiang Ice City's form might have worsened.

Qingdao West Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qingdao West Coast's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heilongjiang Ice City than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heilongjiang Ice City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qingdao West Coast, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Heilongjiang Ice City - Qingdao West Coast Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Heilongjiang will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Qingdao West Coast will win (votes: 9 - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qingdao West Coast: 71.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Yerzat Y. (G) 6. Tursunjan Ahmat 4. Zhao Chengle 40. Vidic N. 2. Zhang Yujie 17. Cai H. 5. Zhu Jiaxuan 24. Benhaddouche C. 7. Tang Shi 11. Erikys 45. Xu Wu	12. Chen Zhao (G) 6. Ge Zhen 5. Liu Pujin 36. Sun Jie 15. Abduklim Merdanjan 17. Chen Po-Liang 7. Tian Yong 30. Gui Zihan 39. Lei Wenjie 11. Raniel 10. Ramirez J.
Substitutes
18. Fan Bojian 16. Hu Jiali 21. Kurban E. 42. Liang P. 3. Li Boyang 31. Li Guanxi (G) 39. Lobjanidze E. 10. Muhtar Ular 14. Wang Jinpeng 29. Xu Jiajun 15. Zhang Yixuan 33. Zhang Zimin	1. Dong Hang (G) 14. Feng Gang 42. Gao Yunan 19. Guo Yi 26. He Xiaoqiang 2. Huang Jiaqiang 25. Li Kai 22. Osmanjan Abduhelil 9. Shi Jian 24. Tanque W. d. S. 3. Xue Mengtao 44. Zhang X.
Coaches
Jia S.	Jankovic Z.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Recent matches Heilongjiang Ice City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Qingdao West Coast is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Heilongjiang Ice City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Heilongjiang Ice City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heilongjiang Ice City
Chinese Jia League
12.08.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Jinan Xingzhou	2:2 ✺
06.08.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Jiangxi Lushan	1:2 ✺
29.07.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Nanjing City	3:0 ✺
23.07.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2 ✺
16.07.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWLT
- Qingdao West Coast
Chinese Jia League
13.08.23	Qingdao West Coast - Wuxi Wugou	3:1 ✺
06.08.23	Qingdao West Coast - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Qingdao West Coast - Jiangxi Lushan	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
26.07.23	Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan	1:4 ✺
Chinese Jia League
22.07.23	Yanbian Longding - Qingdao West Coast	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
10.05.23	Qingdao West Coast - Heilongjiang Ice City	3:1
20.09.22	Heilongjiang Ice City - Qingdao West Coast	0:0
03.09.22	Qingdao West Coast - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:0

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