Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 23 July 2023, Sunday


	Heilongjiang Ice City		Shenzhen Peng City

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.8	3.1	1.9
	3.72	2.98	2.17
	3.5	3	2.05
	3.55	3.24	2.06
	3.5	3.1	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (4.11)	3.09 ↓ (3.24)	2.03 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heilongjiang Ice City
25.6%

Draw
29.5%

Shenzhen Peng City
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

28.8%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

28.4%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heilongjiang Ice City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Shenzhen Peng City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heilongjiang Ice City than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Heilongjiang Ice City - Shenzhen Peng City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Heilongjiang will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Yerzat Y. (C) 4. Zhao Chengle 45. Xu Wu 42. Liang P. 2. Zhang Yujie 5. Zhu Jiaxuan 17. Cai H. 29. Xu Jiajun 21. Kurban E. 11. Erikys 39. Lobjanidze E.	20. Zhao Shi (G) 4. Wang Qiao 5. Song Yue 16. Li Zhi 10. Ortiz M. J. 27. Abduweli Behram 7. Xiao Kun (C) 28. Zhang Yudong 33. Zhu Baojie 11. Garcia E. 23. Xia Dalong
Substitutes
27. Cheng H. 18. Fan Bojian 16. Hu Jiali 3. Li Boyang 31. Li Guanxi (G) 10. Muhtar Ular 28. Shao Shuai 6. Tursunjan Ahmat 14. Wang Jinpeng 30. Wang Tao 15. Zhang Yixuan 33. Zhang Zimin	25. Abdukerim O. 35. Chen Fangzhou 6. Chen Yi 26. Egbuchulam C. 22. Jin Shang 37. Liu Yujie 1. Li Zhizhao (G) 18. Muhta Muzapar 21. Nan Song 32. Song Chen 17. Wang Qi 29. Zhao Z.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heilongjiang Ice City won 1.

Recent matches Heilongjiang Ice City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sichuan Jiuniu is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sichuan Jiuniu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Heilongjiang Ice City have a series of home games.

Sichuan Jiuniu will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Heilongjiang Ice City won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Heilongjiang Ice City won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heilongjiang Ice City
Chinese Jia League
16.07.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:2 ✺
09.07.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Wuxi Wugou	6:2 ✺
01.07.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	2:3 ✺
28.06.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Dandong Tengyue	3:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
24.06.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Nantong Zhiyun	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWLWL
- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Jia League
15.07.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
08.07.23	Liaoning Tieren - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2 ✺
02.07.23	Wuxi Wugou - Shenzhen Peng City	0:1 ✺
28.06.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Dongguan Guanlian	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.06.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Zhejiang Professional	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
08.07.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:2
20.06.22	Heilongjiang Ice City - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2
21.09.21	Shenzhen Peng City - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:0
04.09.21	Heilongjiang Ice City - Shenzhen Peng City	1:1
04.10.20	Shenzhen Peng City - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:0
16.09.20	Heilongjiang Ice City - Shenzhen Peng City	1:1

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