Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 16

Date: 30 July 2023, Sunday


	Qingdao West Coast		Jiangxi Lushan

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.33	7.5
	1.4	3.75	8
	1.41	4.34	8.69
	1.35	3.9	8.5
	1.38	4.4	8.1
	1.35	4.3	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.58)	4.17 ↑ (3.72)	8.1 ↑ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao West Coast
66.7%

Draw
22%

Jiangxi Lushan
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

25%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao West Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qingdao West Coast's performance.

Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (-19.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qingdao West Coast that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jiangxi Lushan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Qingdao West Coast - Jiangxi Lushan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Chen Zhao (G) 6. Ge Zhen 36. Sun Jie 5. Liu Pujin 26. He Xiaoqiang 19. Guo Yi 7. Tian Yong 14. Feng Gang 44. Zhang X. 24. Tanque W. d. S. 11. Raniel	36. Shi Xiaton (G) 33. Kang Zhenjie 21. Liu Wenhao 16. Chen Yunhua 4. Liu Yulei 20. Hurman Baqyjan 29. Lin Zefeng 18. Ablimit Subi 22. Liu Zefeng 10. Weslley 12. Mendy L.
Substitutes
15. Abduklim Merdanjan 20. Chen Ao 17. Chen Po-Liang 1. Dong Hang (G) 42. Gao Yunan 30. Gui Zihan 16. Han X. 39. Lei Wenjie 25. Li Kai 22. Osmanjan Abduhelil 43. Xie Longfei 3. Xue Mengtao	8. Hu Shuming 30. Li Qinghao 34. Ma K. (G) 27. Zeping Y. 3. Zhang Xiang 6. Zheng X. 23. Zixhaun Y.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 14).

Recent matches Qingdao West Coast is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jiangxi Lushan is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Qingdao West Coast could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Qingdao West Coast is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Qingdao West Coast won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao West Coast
Chinese FA Cup
26.07.23	Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan	1:4 ✺
Chinese Jia League
22.07.23	Yanbian Longding - Qingdao West Coast	2:2 ✺
15.07.23	Qingdao West Coast - Guangzhou Evergrande	4:2 ✺
08.07.23	Qingdao West Coast - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2 ✺
01.07.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Qingdao West Coast	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTWLT
- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
22.07.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:2 ✺
15.07.23	Liaoning Tieren - Jiangxi Lushan	3:1 ✺
08.07.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Suzhou Dongwu	2:3 ✺
02.07.23	Ningbo Professional - Jiangxi Lushan	1:2 ✺
28.06.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
23.09.22	Qingdao West Coast - Jiangxi Lushan	2:2
08.09.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Qingdao West Coast	0:2

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