Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 27

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Harbin International Convention and Exhibition Centre Stadium (Harbin)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Heilongjiang Ice City		Wuxi Wugou

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.35
	2.75	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.87	3.2	2.57
	2.87	3.08	2.55	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.38
	2.67	3.13	2.41	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.1)	3.12 ↓ (3.22)	2.45 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heilongjiang Ice City
33.3%

Draw
29.4%

Wuxi Wugou
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

28.5%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heilongjiang Ice City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heilongjiang Ice City's form might have worsened.

Wuxi Wugou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wuxi Wugou's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heilongjiang Ice City than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heilongjiang Ice City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wuxi Wugou, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Heilongjiang Ice City - Wuxi Wugou Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Heilongjiang will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Wuxi Wugou will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Yang C. (G) 20. Zhang J. 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 31. Daciel 27. Wu Y. 17. Yan Yu 22. Ma Yujun 18. Fan Bojian (C) 33. Zhang Zimin 28. Shao Shuai 19. Xu H.	13. Zhu Yueqi (G) 21. He Mingli 28. Yu Wai-Lim 5. Lin Jiahao (C) 36. Zhao Shuhao 7. Guo Song 15. Tursunjan Ahmat 38. Zhu Haiwei 19. Li Boxi 10. Tong Le 20. Nouble J.
Substitutes
15. Ablimit Subi 42. Liang P. 3. Li Boyang 13. Li S. (G) 11. Montano I. 7. Piao Taoyu 10. Tang Shi 8. Wang Jinpeng 44. Wen Jialong 2. Zhang Yujie 4. Zhao Chengle 16. Zhou Pinxi	39. Fu Hao 27. He Wei 17. Hu Shengjia 4. Liang Jinhu 11. Mandic S. 12. Song X. 1. Sun Jianxiang (G) 6. Tang Qirun 30. Yuan Z. 18. Yue Zhilei 22. Zhang Jingyi (G) 40. Zhao Yubo
Coaches
Duan X.	Wang D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Xu H. 🟨,
40', He Mingli 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Lin Jiahao ⚽, Zhao Shuhao (A),
68', Li Boxi ↓, Tang Qirun ↑,
73', Zhao Shuhao ↓, He Wei ↑,
74', Zhang J. ↓, Zhang Yujie ↑,
74', Yan Yu ↓, Tang Shi ↑,
80', Zhu Haiwei ↓, Yue Zhilei ↑,
81', Fan Bojian ↓, Wen Jialong ↑,
86', Tursunjan Ahmat 🟨,
87', Zhang Zimin ↓, Piao Taoyu ↑,
88', Tong Le ↓, Mandic S. ↑,
90+2', Zhu Yueqi 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Heilongjiang Ice City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wuxi Wugou is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Heilongjiang Ice City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Heilongjiang Ice City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Heilongjiang Ice City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heilongjiang Ice City
Chinese Jia League
05.10.24	Foshan Nanshi - Heilongjiang Ice City	5:1 ✺
28.09.24	Liaoning Tieren - Heilongjiang Ice City	3:0 ✺
21.09.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Yanbian Longding	0:1 ✺
17.09.24	Ningbo Professional - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Jia League
05.10.24	Wuxi Wugou - Liaoning Tieren	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Ningbo Professional - Wuxi Wugou	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Wuxi Wugou - Foshan Nanshi	4:1 ✺
15.09.24	Nanjing City - Wuxi Wugou	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Wuxi Wugou - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
01.06.24	Wuxi Wugou - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:1
22.10.23	Wuxi Wugou - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:1
09.07.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Wuxi Wugou	6:2

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