Match Info

Date: 19 August 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Heimstetten		Illertissen

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.55
	2.16	3.7	2.75
	2.36	3.6	2.55
	2.39	3.8	2.66
	2.38	3.7	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.4)	3.66 ↑ (3.4)	2.63 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heimstetten
39.8%

Draw
25.2%

Illertissen
35%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.4%

26.4%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

26.1%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heimstetten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Illertissen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heimstetten than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Heimstetten - Illertissen Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Heimstetten will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Illertissen will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heimstetten: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heimstetten won 2.

Recent matches Heimstetten is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Illertissen is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Heimstetten could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Heimstetten won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Heimstetten won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Heimstetten
German Regionalliga Bayern
12.08.22	Buchbach - Heimstetten	2:0 ✺
05.08.22	Heimstetten - Schweinfurt	3:2 ✺
02.08.22	Unterhaching - Heimstetten	3:2 ✺
29.07.22	Heimstetten - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	5:2 ✺
23.07.22	Vilzing - Heimstetten	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLWL
- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
12.08.22	Illertissen - Augsburg II	1:5 ✺
09.08.22	Illertissen - Schweinfurt	4:3 ✺
06.08.22	Rain am Lech - Illertissen	3:1 ✺
02.08.22	Buchbach - Illertissen	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.07.22	Illertissen - Heidenheim	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
07.05.22	Heimstetten - Illertissen	1:0
08.10.21	Illertissen - Heimstetten	4:1
05.10.19	Heimstetten - Illertissen	1:4
18.05.19	Heimstetten - Illertissen	3:1
27.10.18	Illertissen - Heimstetten	3:0
02.05.15	Heimstetten - Illertissen	3:2
03.10.14	Illertissen - Heimstetten	3:1

Heimstetten - Illertissen