Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Bayern - Round 7

Date: 30 August 2024, Friday


	Illertissen		Schweinfurt

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	3.8
	1.83	3.75	3.75
	1.83	3.66	3.95
	1.76	3.68	4.02
	1.77	3.66	3.88
	1.83	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.53)	3.67 ↓ (4.25)	3.86 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illertissen
51.2%

Draw
25%

Schweinfurt
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

21.5%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

19.6%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illertissen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Illertissen's form might have worsened.

Schweinfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illertissen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schweinfurt than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Schweinfurt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Illertissen - Schweinfurt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Dellinger M. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Endres J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 1 - 2, Glessing Y. ⚽,
69', 1 - 3, Endres J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Play Offs and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Illertissen won 4.

Illertissen in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Schweinfurt is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Illertissen is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Illertissen to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Illertissen won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 35-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Illertissen won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
24.08.24	Eintracht Bamberg - Illertissen	0:2 ✺
16.08.24	Illertissen - Buchbach	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Hankofen-Hailing - Illertissen	0:1 ✺
02.08.24	Illertissen - Aubstadt	3:1 ✺
26.07.24	Augsburg II - Illertissen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWT
- 1. FC Schweinfurt 05
German Regionalliga Bayern
24.08.24	Schweinfurt - Greuther Fürth II	2:1 ✺
16.08.24	Bayreuth - Schweinfurt	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Eintracht Bamberg - Schweinfurt	2:1 ✺
02.08.24	Schweinfurt - Buchbach	3:1 ✺
26.07.24	Hankofen-Hailing - Schweinfurt	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
13.04.24	Schweinfurt - Illertissen	0:2
30.09.23	Illertissen - Schweinfurt	1:3
18.02.23	Schweinfurt - Illertissen	1:2
09.08.22	Illertissen - Schweinfurt	4:3
14.05.22	Schweinfurt - Illertissen	1:2
16.10.21	Illertissen - Schweinfurt	1:1
27.09.19	Illertissen - Schweinfurt	0:3

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