Match Info

Superettan - Round 23

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Olympia (Helsingborg)

Referee: Oppong F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 4, TV4 Play


	Helsingborg		Örgryte

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.7	2.15
	2.82	3.65	2.25
	3.09	3.76	2.25
	10.28	4.19	1.36	Watch
	2.76	3.65	2.35	Watch
	2.4	3.7	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (2.51)	3.78 (3.78)	2.12 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helsingborg
25.2%

Draw
26.9%

Örgryte
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

24.9%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

24.8%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helsingborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Helsingborg's form might have worsened.

Örgryte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Örgryte's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Helsingborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Örgryte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Helsingborg - Örgryte Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Helsingborg will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Örgryte will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Örgryte: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Örgryte (4.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Helsingborg (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Örgryte will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Helsingborg (votes: 1 - 20%). Örgryte (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brattberg J. (G) 19. Orn B. 2. Birkfeldt J. (C) 3. Nilsson W. 5. Bengtsson S. 7. Loeper W. 6. Asoma S. 14. Kjellnas L. 10. Svensson M. 29. Aga O. 16. Johansson A.	44. Gustafsson H. (G) 3. Azulay J. (C) 6. Dyrestam M. 5. Styffe C. 15. Dahlqvist I. 23. Parker-Price O. 8. Mujanic A. 19. Andreasson A. 17. Hofvander W. 11. Christoffersson N. 22. Sana T.
Substitutes
9. Akimey A. 41. Chrupalla P. 8. Gigovic E. 15. Gorefalt T. 18. Ljung C. 31. Nordin A. 30. Radahl E. (G)	10. Barkroth N. 16. Dahlqvist H. 21. Kenndal W. 14. Paulson D. 12. Samuelsson L. (G) 24. Svensson W. 7. Vindehall C.
Coaches
Saarenpaa K.	Holmberg A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Andreasson A. ⚽, Dahlqvist I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Kjellnas L. 🟨,
65', Hofvander W. ↓, Paulson D. ↑,
65', Christoffersson N. ↓, Barkroth N. ↑,
73', Loeper W. ↓, Akimey A. ↑,
73', Johansson A. ↓, Ljung C. ↑,
73', Svensson M. ↓, Chrupalla P. ↑,
78', Asoma S. ↓, Gigovic E. ↑,
85', Andreasson A. ↓, Svensson W. ↑,
90', Dahlqvist I. ↓, Vindehall C. ↑,
90', Mujanic A. ↓, Kenndal W. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helsingborg won 3.

Helsingborg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Örgryte is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Helsingborg won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:11. (average 2.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Helsingborg won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Helsingborg - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.42%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Superettan
16.09.25	Helsingborg - Landskrona	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Västerås SK - Helsingborg	4:0 ✺
26.08.25	Kalmar - Helsingborg	2:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
20.08.25	Vänersborgs FK - Helsingborg	0:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
16.08.25	Helsingborg - Falkenberg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLWT
- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
15.09.25	Örgryte - Umeå	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Utsikten - Örgryte	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Örgryte - Brage	2:2 ✺
17.08.25	Örebro - Örgryte	1:3 ✺
09.08.25	Örgryte - Oddevold	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
28.06.25	Örgryte - Helsingborg	0:2
09.11.24	Helsingborg - Örgryte	1:2
07.05.24	Örgryte - Helsingborg	0:1
Club Friendly
23.03.24	Helsingborg - Örgryte	2:0
Swedish Superettan
08.08.23	Helsingborg - Örgryte	2:3
15.07.23	Örgryte - Helsingborg	1:2
20.11.21	Örgryte - Helsingborg	1:1

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