Match Info

Super League - Round 25

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium (Zhengzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Henan Songshan Longmen		Chongqing Tongliang Long

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	10.00	Watch
	1.28	5.00	9.50
	1.35	4.80	8.00	Watch
	1.26	5.40	9.90
	1.7	3.85	4.65	Watch
	1.30	4.95	11.00
	1.29	5.24	9.51
	1.28	5.40	11.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.59)	4.99 ↑ (3.85)	9.2 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henan Songshan Longmen
70.7%

Draw
19%

Chongqing Tongliang Long
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

24%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

22.9%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henan Songshan Longmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henan Songshan Longmen's performance.

Chongqing Tongliang Long has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chongqing Tongliang Long might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henan Songshan Longmen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chongqing Tongliang Long could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Henan Songshan Longmen - Chongqing Tongliang Long Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Shi Chenglong (G) 4. Shinar Yeljan 2. Iago Maidana 23. Lucas Maia 22. Huang Ruifeng 6. Wang Shangyuan (C) 21. He Chao 7. Zhong Yihao 10. Bruno Nazario 8. Pedro Maranhao 9. Gustavo	31. Wu Zitong (G) 15. Chen Chunxin 38. Ruan Qilong 6. Jin Pengxiang 3. Zhang Yingkai 37. Wei Suowei 21. Liu Jiale 16. Zhang Zhixiong 27. Wu Yongqiang 19. Du Yuezheng 7. Xiang Yuwang (C)
Substitutes
13. Abudulam A. 30. Fan Xulin 3. Gerbig O. 5. Liu Jiahui 27. Liu Yixin 39. Osman Ekber 18. Wang Guoming (G) 17. Wang Jinshuai (G) 16. Yang Kuo 25. Yang Yilin 24. Yin Congyao 29. Zheng Dalun	10. Amadou I. 9. Cimpanu G. 11. Dimata L. 26. He Xiaoqiang 18. Liang Weipeng 24. Liu Mingshi 8. Li Zhenquan 33. Lucao 32. Ngadeu M. 17. Ng Yu-Hei 1. Yao Haoyang (G) 4. Yue Ruijie
Coaches
Ramos D.	Liu Jianye

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Gustavo ⚽, Bruno Nazario (A),
34', Gustavo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zhang Zhixiong ↓, Lucao ↑,
46', He Chao ↓, Abudulam A. ↑,
57', Du Yuezheng ↓, Dimata L. ↑,
57', Jin Pengxiang ↓, Li Zhenquan ↑,
57', Liu Jiale ↓, Cimpanu G. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Ruan Qilong ⚽, Cimpanu G. (A),
64', Chen Chunxin ↓, Liu Mingshi ↑,
77', Zhong Yihao ↓, Osman Ekber ↑,
78', Lucas Maia 🟨,
81', Lucao 🟨,
85', Ruan Qilong ↓, Ngadeu M. ↑,
90+1', Shinar Yeljan ↓, Liu Yixin ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8).

Henan Jianye has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chongqing is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Chongqing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Henan Jianye is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Chongqing Tonglianglong	26	7	10	9	27:32	-5	31
12	Henan Songshan Longmen	26	8	9	9	33:35	-2	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henan Songshan Longmen
Chinese Super League
23.08.26	Liaoning Tieren - Henan Songshan Longmen	4:4 ✺
15.08.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Henan Songshan Longmen	4:1 ✺
09.08.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Qingdao West Coast	0:0 ✺
31.07.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Dalian Young Boy	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Shandong Taishan - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLTTW
- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Super League
23.08.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Dalian Young Boy	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Qingdao West Coast - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shanghai Port	2:3 ✺
02.08.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
05.05.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:2

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