Match Info

Super League - Round 24

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Olympic Sports Centre Stadium (Shenyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Liaoning Tieren		Henan Songshan Longmen

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.80	3.40	2.25
	2.8	3.45	2.25	Watch
	2.9	3.75	2.43
	2.75	3.59	2.37	Watch
	2.85	3.55	2.35
	2.74	3.59	2.34	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.92)	3.57 ↓ (3.58)	2.33 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
33.5%

Draw
26.3%

Henan Songshan Longmen
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

26.2%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

26.5%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Henan Songshan Longmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Liaoning Tieren - Henan Songshan Longmen Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Henan Jianye will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Zhang Yan (G) 27. Gao Jiarun 26. Yuan Mincheng 15. Felipe 35. Li Haoran 18. Li Tixiang 7. Kouame A. 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 8. Yan Dinghao 11. Chen Binbin 47. Jeffinho	18. Wang Guoming (G) 4. Shinar Yeljan 2. Iago Maidana 23. Lucas Maia 22. Huang Ruifeng 21. He Chao 6. Wang Shangyuan (C) 8. Pedro Maranhao 10. Bruno Nazario 7. Zhong Yihao 9. Gustavo
Substitutes
22. Liu G. 5. Mawlanniyaz D. 30. Pang Shenghan 3. Pan Ximing 36. Tian Deao 33. Tian Yinong 17. Tian Yuda 19. Wu Mingyu 13. Xie J. (G) 28. Xu Dong 14. Zang Yifeng 34. Zhang H.	28. Du Changjie 30. Fan Xulin 3. Gerbig O. 5. Liu Jiahui 27. Liu Yixin 39. Osman Ekber 33. Shi Chenglong (G) 17. Wang Jinshuai (G) 16. Yang Kuo 25. Yang Yilin 24. Yin Congyao 29. Zheng Dalun
Coaches
Seo Jung-Won	Ramos D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', Yuan Mincheng 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Lucas Maia ⚽, Wang Shangyuan (A),
44', 0 - 2, Gustavo ⚽, Shinar Yeljan (A),
2nd Half (4 - 2)
46', Chen Binbin ↓, Mawlanniyaz D. ↑,
46', Wang Shangyuan ↓, Gerbig O. ↑,
46', Yan Dinghao ↓, Zang Yifeng ↑,
46', Gao Jiarun ↓, Zhang H. ↑,
46', 1 - 2, Jeffinho ⚽, Felipe (A),
51', Iago Maidana 🟨,
57', 1 - 3, Gustavo ⚽, Bruno Nazario (A),
58', Li Tixiang ↓, Tian Yinong ↑,
60', 1 - 4, Gustavo ⚽, Bruno Nazario (A),
63', 2 - 4, Zang Yifeng ⚽,
66', Gerbig O. 🟨,
67', Li Haoran ↓, Tian Deao ↑,
69', 3 - 4, Zhang H. ⚽, Tian Deao (A),
86', He Chao 🟨,
86', He Chao ↓, Liu Jiahui ↑,
89', 4 - 4, Kunimoto T. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Pedro Maranhao ↓, Osman Ekber ↑,
90+6', Zhong Yihao ↓, Zheng Dalun ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12 and 13)

Liaoning Tieren is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Henan Jianye's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Liaoning Tieren may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Henan Jianye: Abudulam A. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Liaoning Tieren won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Henan Songshan Longmen	26	8	9	9	33:35	-2	27
14	Liaoning Tieren	26	7	4	15	34:47	-13	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Super League
15.08.26	Liaoning Tieren - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Dalian Young Boy - Liaoning Tieren	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Liaoning Tieren - Shanghai Shenhua	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao West Coast	0:1 ✺
17.07.26	Beijing Guoan - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLWLT
- Henan Songshan Longmen
Chinese Super League
15.08.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Henan Songshan Longmen	4:1 ✺
09.08.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Qingdao West Coast	0:0 ✺
31.07.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Dalian Young Boy	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Shandong Taishan - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.07.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Dalian Young Boy	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
01.05.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Liaoning Tieren	4:0
Chinese FA Cup
24.04.18	Liaoning Tieren - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:1

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