Match Info

Super League - Round 21

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Bao'an Stadium (Shenzhen)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Shenzhen Peng City		Chongqing Tongliang Long

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.25	2.85	Watch
	2.30	3.20	2.85
	2.35	3.30	2.85	Watch
	2.51	3.31	3.02
	2.36	3.42	2.87	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.90
	2.40	3.25	2.90
	2.41	3.30	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.1)	3.29 ↓ (3.42)	2.89 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Peng City
39.1%

Draw
28.5%

Chongqing Tongliang Long
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

27.3%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Peng City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shenzhen Peng City's form might have worsened.

Chongqing Tongliang Long has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shenzhen Peng City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Shenzhen Peng City - Chongqing Tongliang Long Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Chongqing will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Peng Peng (G) 16. Tang Miao 3. Gabriel Xavier 46. Shen H. 20. Xuan Z. 19. Zhang Yufeng 31. Owusu-Sekyere D. 8. Chow T. 11. Ademi A. 4. Jiang Zhipeng 7. Wesley Moraes (C)	1. Yao Haoyang (G) 24. Liu Mingshi 33. Lucao 32. Ngadeu M. 4. Yue Ruijie 26. He Xiaoqiang 16. Zhang Zhixiong 10. Amadou I. 8. Li Zhenquan 7. Xiang Yuwang (C) 11. Dimata L.
Substitutes
1. Ji J. (G) 14. Li Long 17. Li Ning 2. Tian Yifan 56. Wang Yuheng 35. Wei Minzhe (G) 29. Xia Dalong 23. Yang Yiming 54. Yao J. 39. Yu Menghui 15. Yu Rui 25. Zhao Jianfei	15. Chen Chunxin 9. Cimpanu G. 19. Du Yuezheng 6. Jin Pengxiang 18. Liang Weipeng 21. Liu Jiale 17. Ng Yu-Hei 38. Ruan Qilong 37. Wei Suowei 27. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 3. Zhang Yingkai
Coaches
Neilson R.	Liu Jianye

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Owusu-Sekyere D. ↓, Li Ning ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Xiang Yuwang ↓, Cimpanu G. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Jiang Zhipeng ⚽, Li Ning (A),
68', Wesley Moraes (Penalty Awarded),
69', He Xiaoqiang ↓, Zhang Yingkai ↑,
69', Yue Ruijie ↓, Du Yuezheng ↑,
69', Amadou I. ↓, Ng Yu-Hei ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Wesley Moraes ⚽, Ademi A. (A),
85', Xuan Z. ↓, Li Long ↑,
85', Shen H. ↓, Zhao Jianfei ↑,
88', Dimata L. 🟨,
88', Li Zhenquan ↓, Liu Jiale ↑,
90+1', Li Ning 🟨,
90+2', Ademi A. ↓, Yu Rui ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).

Recent form of Shenzhen Peng City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chongqing has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chongqing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Shenzhen Peng City has had a series of away games.

Shenzhen Peng City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Benkovic F. (Injury) Dai Wai-Tsun (Injury)

There will not play in Chongqing: Li Zhenquan (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shenzhen Peng City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Chongqing Tonglianglong	26	7	10	9	27:32	-5	31
11	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	26	8	4	14	34:45	-11	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Super League
26.07.26	Yunnan Yukun - Shenzhen Peng City	4:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.07.26	Shanghai Port - Shenzhen Peng City	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
18.07.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Shenzhen Peng City	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao West Coast	3:0 ✺
04.07.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shenzhen Peng City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL
- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Super League
25.07.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.07.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Qingdao West Coast	2:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
18.07.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Zhejiang Professional	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Liaoning Tieren - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
17.04.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shenzhen Peng City	2:0

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