Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 8

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium (Zhengzhou)


	Henan Songshan Longmen		Dalian Pro

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.75
	2.8	2.9	2.55
	2.8	2.95	2.63	Watch
	2.94	2.94	2.76
	2.75	2.88	2.55
	2.83	3.08	2.64	Watch
	2.9	2.95	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.54)	2.96 ↓ (3.3)	2.63 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henan Songshan Longmen
32.9%

Draw
31.6%

Dalian Pro
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

28.4%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28.2%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henan Songshan Longmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Dalian Pro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Pro than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	62.5%	0%

Henan Songshan Longmen - Dalian Pro Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Henan Jianye will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 13).

Henan Songshan Longmen has the most likely position - 8 (100%), project points - 41, currently - 41, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for acl.

Dalian Pro has the most likely position - 9 (100%), project points - 38, currently - 38, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for acl.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Henan Songshan Longmen won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Henan Songshan Longmen won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Henan Songshan Longmen won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henan Songshan Longmen
Chinese Super League
14.05.23	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:0 ✺
09.05.23	Henan Songshan Longmen - Wuhan Three Towns	1:1 ✺
05.05.23	Henan Songshan Longmen - Beijing Guoan	0:1 ✺
30.04.23	Shenzhen - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1 ✺
26.04.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLTL
- Dalian Pro
Chinese Super League
13.05.23	Shenzhen - Dalian Pro	2:1 ✺
09.05.23	Dalian Pro - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:1 ✺
05.05.23	Shanghai Shenhua - Dalian Pro	1:0 ✺
01.05.23	Dalian Pro - Meizhou Hakka	1:1 ✺
26.04.23	Dalian Pro - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
24.06.22	Dalian Pro - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:2
04.06.22	Henan Songshan Longmen - Dalian Pro	2:2
25.12.21	Henan Songshan Longmen - Dalian Pro	1:0
12.12.21	Dalian Pro - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:0
03.09.20	Henan Songshan Longmen - Dalian Pro	0:4
31.07.20	Dalian Pro - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1
07.07.19	Dalian Pro - Henan Songshan Longmen	3:1

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