The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nantong Zhiyun 28.9%
Draw 29.6%
Henan Songshan Longmen 41.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.7%
25.6%
51.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.2%
25.1%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantong Zhiyun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nantong Zhiyun's performance.
Henan Songshan Longmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Henan Songshan Longmen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nantong Zhiyun that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Henan Songshan Longmen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Nantong Zhiyun will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Henan Jianye will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nantong Zhiyun: 16.4% – 61.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Xue Qinghao (G) 15. Liu Wei 20. Anthony I. 34. Luo Xin 18. Jiang Zilei 6. Yang Ming-Yang 25. Cao Kang 38. Lu Yongtao 10. Kallon I. 9. Godinez J. 30. Rosa F.
18. Wang Guoming (G) 27. Niu Ziyi 28. He Guan 36. Iago Maidana 6. Wang Shangyuan 22. Huang Ruifeng 40. Bruno Nazario 8. Denic D. 4. Shinar Y. 11. Acheampong F. 20. Covic N.
Substitutes
37. Jia B. 17. Ji Shengpan 24. Liang Shaowen 1. Li Huayang (G) 36. Qiu Zhongyi 28. Shi Xiaodong (G) 13. Song Haoyu 3. Wang Jie 2. Wei Lai 33. Xu Junmin 26. Ye Daochi 29. Zheng Haoqian
21. Chen Keqiang 14. Du Zhixuan 9. Feng Boyuan 5. Gu Cao 10. Huang Zichang 23. Ke Zhao 24. Li Songyi 32. Li T. 26. Xu Jiamin (G) 16. Yang Kuo 19. Yang Yilin 7. Zhong Yihao
Coaches
Patricio D.
Nam Ki-Il
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Luo Xin 🟨,
36', He Guan 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Lu Yongtao ⚽, Jiang Zilei (A),
45+5', Lu Yongtao 🟨,
45+6', Denic D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jiang Zilei ↓, Song Haoyu ↑,
56', Shinar Y. ↓, Yang Yilin ↑,
72', Covic N. ↓, Huang Zichang ↑,
72', Niu Ziyi ↓, Ke Zhao ↑,
76', Kallon I. ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
76', Lu Yongtao ↓, Zheng Haoqian ↑,
77', Luo Xin ↓, Liang Shaowen ↑,
82', Rosa F. ↓, Xu Junmin ↑,
83', Zheng Haoqian 🟨,
88', Acheampong F. 🟥,
89', Zheng Haoqian 🟨,
90+2', Bruno Nazario ↓, Feng Boyuan ↑,
90+2', Huang Ruifeng ↓, Yang Kuo ↑,
90+8', 🟨,
90+11', Wang Shangyuan 🟨,
90+13', 1 - 1, Song Haoyu (Own goal),
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 8).
Nantong Zhiyun has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Henan Songshan Longmen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Henan Songshan Longmen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Henan Songshan Longmen have a series of home games.
In this match Henan Songshan Longmen is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Henan Songshan Longmen to win the game is with odds 1.76.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Nantong Zhiyun won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Nantong Zhiyun won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
China
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Xue Qinghao (G) 
Anthony I. 
Yang Ming-Yang 
Kallon I. 
Godinez J. 
Rosa F. 
Denic D. 
Acheampong F. 
Patricio D. 
Nam Ki-Il 
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