Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 6

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium (Zhengzhou)

Referee: Fu M. (Chn)


	Henan Songshan Longmen		Nantong Zhiyun

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.8	Watch
	1.87	3.3	3.9
	1.9	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.93	3.55	4.37
	1.88	3.43	4.37
	1.8	3.6	3.8
	1.89	3.72	4.02	Watch
	1.86	3.55	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.87)	3.56 ↑ (3.47)	3.98 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henan Songshan Longmen
50.1%

Draw
26.3%

Nantong Zhiyun
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

26.4%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

25.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henan Songshan Longmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Nantong Zhiyun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Henan Songshan Longmen - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Henan Jianye will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Nantong Zhiyun will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Xu Jiamin (G) 13. Xu Haofeng 3. Gerbig O. 36. Iago Maidana 16. Yang Kuo 11. Acheampong F. 22. Huang Ruifeng 8. Denic D. 24. Li Songyi (C) 40. Bruno Nazario 9. Feng Boyuan	23. Xue Qinghao (G) 4. Shinar Y. 5. Ma Sheng (C) 25. Cao Kang 20. Anthony I. 31. Liao Lei 17. Ji Shengpan 16. Puclin D. 6. Yang Ming-Yang 29. Zheng Haoqian 9. Godinez J.
Substitutes
21. Chen Keqiang 5. Gu Cao 29. Han Dong 10. Huang Zichang 23. Ke Zhao 32. Li T. 2. Liu Yixin 27. Niu Ziyi 1. Shi Chenglong (G) 17. Wang Jinshuai (G) 6. Wang Shangyuan 19. Yang Yilin	14. Chen Zhao (G) 18. Jiang Zilei 1. Li Huayang (G) 15. Liu Wei 38. Lu Yongtao 7. Nzuzi Mata K. 13. Song Haoyu 3. Wang Jie 2. Wei Lai 26. Ye Daochi 8. Zhang Y. 11. Zimin Nuali
Coaches
Nam Ki-Il	Jurasovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Godinez J. 🟨,
22', Yang Kuo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ma Sheng ↓, Liu Wei ↑,
46', Denic D. ↓, Huang Zichang ↑,
50', Puclin D. 🟨,
56', 1 - 0, Gerbig O. ⚽,
60', Zheng Haoqian ↓, Jiang Zilei ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Godinez J. ⚽, Puclin D. (A),
68', Yang Kuo ↓, Ke Zhao ↑,
71', Huang Ruifeng 🟨,
72', Cao Kang ↓, Lu Yongtao ↑,
73', Ji Shengpan ↓, Nzuzi Mata K. ↑,
77', Feng Boyuan ↓, Yang Yilin ↑,
77', Li Songyi ↓, Niu Ziyi ↑,
81', Liao Lei ↓, Wei Lai ↑,
83', Yang Yilin 🟨,
90+3', Liu Wei 🟨,
90+4', Huang Zichang ↓, Gu Cao ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 11).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Henan Songshan Longmen is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Henan Songshan Longmen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Henan Songshan Longmen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henan Songshan Longmen
Chinese Super League
09.04.24	Shandong Taishan - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:2 ✺
05.04.24	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Shanghai Port - Henan Songshan Longmen	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	Henan Songshan Longmen - Meizhou Hakka	2:2 ✺
01.03.24	Qingdao West Coast - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLLTT
- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Super League
09.04.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Shanghai Port	0:3 ✺
05.04.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Nantong Zhiyun	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Wuhan Three Towns	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
21.07.23	Henan Songshan Longmen - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1
26.04.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:0

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