Match Info

Super League - Round 12

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium (Zhengzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Henan Songshan Longmen		Shenzhen Peng City

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.6	3.85	5.15	Watch
	1.65	3.91	5.18
	1.61	4.06	4.94	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5
	1.66	3.9	5.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)	3.87 ↓ (4.01)	5.14 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henan Songshan Longmen
57.7%

Draw
24.1%

Shenzhen Peng City
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

23.3%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

20.5%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henan Songshan Longmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henan Songshan Longmen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Henan Songshan Longmen - Shenzhen Peng City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Henan Jianye will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Wang Guoming (G) 22. Huang Ruifeng 2. Iago Maidana 23. Lucas Maia 4. Shinar Yeljan 6. Wang Shangyuan (C) 21. He Chao 7. Zhong Yihao 10. Bruno Nazario 29. Zheng Dalun 9. Gustavo	13. Peng Peng (G) 20. Xuan Z. 23. Yang Yiming 5. Hu Ruibao 46. Shen H. 12. Zhang Xiaobin 31. Owusu-Sekyere D. 8. Chow T. 36. Kartsev E. 10. Dai Wai-Tsun 7. Wesley Moraes (C)
Substitutes
13. Abudulam A. 28. Du Changjie 3. Gerbig O. 15. Haliq Ablahan 27. Liu Yixin 14. Mboula J. 39. Osman Ekber 33. Shi Chenglong (G) 19. Xu Haofeng 16. Yang Kuo 25. Yang Yilin 24. Yin Congyao	11. Ademi A. 34. Ghojaehmet Shahzat 37. Hu Jiajin 1. Ji J. (G) 14. Li Long 17. Li Ning 2. Tian Yifan 56. Wang Yuheng 35. Wei Minzhe (G) 29. Xia Dalong 54. Yao J. 6. Yao Junsheng
Coaches
Ramos D.	Chen Tao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Zheng Dalun ↓, Yang Yilin ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', He Chao ↓, Haliq Ablahan ↑,
46', Shen H. ↓, Li Long ↑,
52', Yang Yiming 🟨,
65', Kartsev E. ↓, Yao Junsheng ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Bruno Nazario ⚽, Zhong Yihao (A),
70', Dai Wai-Tsun ↓, Ademi A. ↑,
79', Zhong Yihao ↓, Mboula J. ↑,
82', Zhang Xiaobin ↓, Yao J. ↑,
82', Owusu-Sekyere D. ↓, Xia Dalong ↑,
85', Bruno Nazario ↓, Gerbig O. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 3.

Henan Jianye has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shenzhen Peng City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Henan Jianye is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Henan Jianye won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	26	8	4	14	34:45	-11	28
12	Henan Songshan Longmen	26	8	9	9	33:35	-2	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henan Songshan Longmen
Chinese Super League
09.05.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Henan Songshan Longmen	3:0 ✺
05.05.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Liaoning Tieren	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shanghai Shenhua	0:3 ✺
22.04.26	Qingdao West Coast - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWLT
- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Super League
10.05.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Shandong Taishan	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Shanghai Port - Shenzhen Peng City	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Zhejiang Professional - Shenzhen Peng City	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Liaoning Tieren	1:0 ✺
21.04.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Beijing Guoan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
08.08.25	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shenzhen Peng City	4:1
05.04.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:3
13.07.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:0
05.04.24	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2
Chinese FA Cup
28.10.21	Shenzhen Peng City - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:1 penalties
23.10.21	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shenzhen Peng City	1:1

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