Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 20

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hendon		Swindon Supermarine

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	3.8
	1.75	3.75	3.75
	1.68	4.33	4.01
	1.69	4.33	4.02
	1.65	3.98	4.1
	1.75	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.64)	3.97 ↓ (4.1)	3.91 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hendon
53.6%

Draw
23%

Swindon Supermarine
23.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.6%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hendon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Swindon Supermarine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hendon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Hendon - Swindon Supermarine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hendon won 1.

Hendon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Swindon Supermarine is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hendon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Swindon Supermarine have a series of home games.

Hendon will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hendon won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Hendon won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hendon
English Southern League South Division
25.11.23	Winchester City - Hendon	0:2 ✺
21.11.23	Walton & Hersham - Hendon	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Hendon - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
11.11.23	Gosport Borough - Hendon	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Hendon - Merthyr Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWLW
- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
25.11.23	Swindon Supermarine - Hayes & Yeading United	3:2 ✺
11.11.23	Swindon Supermarine - Sholing	0:0 ✺
07.11.23	Swindon Supermarine - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Basingstoke Town - Swindon Supermarine	4:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Swindon Supermarine - Basingstoke Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
28.02.23	Hendon - Swindon Supermarine	2:2
13.08.22	Swindon Supermarine - Hendon	4:1
25.01.22	Hendon - Swindon Supermarine	1:0
02.10.21	Swindon Supermarine - Hendon	1:1
16.11.19	Swindon Supermarine - Hendon	2:0
27.04.19	Hendon - Swindon Supermarine	1:0
01.09.18	Swindon Supermarine - Hendon	0:1

Hendon - Swindon Supermarine

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Hendon - Swindon Supermarine Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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