Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 21

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Swindon Supermarine		Basingstoke Town

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.3
	2.49	3.7	2.34
	2.52	3.91	2.29
	2.6	3.96	2.34
	2.52	3.68	2.27
	2.49	3.7	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 (2.51)	3.76 ↑ (3.44)	2.31 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Supermarine
36.3%

Draw
24.3%

Basingstoke Town
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

26.2%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

25.4%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Supermarine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Swindon Supermarine - Basingstoke Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:14 (average 1.8:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon Supermarine won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
22.10.24	Bracknell Town - Swindon Supermarine	4:2 ✺
19.10.24	Gosport Borough - Swindon Supermarine	3:2 ✺
15.10.24	Swindon Supermarine - Winchester City	2:0 ✺
12.10.24	Swindon Supermarine - Tiverton Town	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Winchester City - Swindon Supermarine	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWL
- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
22.10.24	Basingstoke Town - Hungerford Town	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Basingstoke Town - Taunton Town	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Hanwell Town - Basingstoke Town	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Frome Town - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Taunton Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
13.08.24	Basingstoke Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:0
13.04.24	Swindon Supermarine - Basingstoke Town	3:0
04.11.23	Basingstoke Town - Swindon Supermarine	4:3
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Swindon Supermarine - Basingstoke Town	0:3
English Southern League South Division
09.03.19	Basingstoke Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:0
15.12.18	Swindon Supermarine - Basingstoke Town	5:2

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