Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 11

Date: 7 November 2023, Tuesday


	Swindon Supermarine		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.5	1.49
	4.75	4.5	1.5
	4.74	4.92	1.5
	4.74	4.92	1.5
	4.95	4.55	1.47
	4.75	4.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↓ (6.74)	4.65 ↓ (5.5)	1.49 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Supermarine
19.3%

Draw
19.6%

Chesham United
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

16.5%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

16%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Supermarine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swindon Supermarine's performance.

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chesham United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swindon Supermarine that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chesham United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Swindon Supermarine - Chesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Chesham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chesham is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon Supermarine won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
04.11.23	Basingstoke Town - Swindon Supermarine	4:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Swindon Supermarine - Basingstoke Town	0:3 ✺
English Southern League South Division
21.10.23	Swindon Supermarine - Hanwell Town	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Harrow Borough - Swindon Supermarine	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Swindon Supermarine - Tiverton Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTTW
- Chesham United
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Chesham United - Maidstone United	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Cray Wanderers - Chesham United	4:3 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.10.23	Chesham United - Hendon	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Poole Town - Chesham United	2:5 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Chesham United - Braintree Town	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
22.04.23	Swindon Supermarine - Chesham United	5:3
05.11.22	Chesham United - Swindon Supermarine	1:1
05.02.22	Swindon Supermarine - Chesham United	2:1
12.10.21	Chesham United - Swindon Supermarine	1:1
10.10.20	Chesham United - Swindon Supermarine	0:1
11.02.20	Chesham United - Swindon Supermarine	1:2
05.10.19	Swindon Supermarine - Chesham United	2:1

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