Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Hendon		Merthyr Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.65
	2.2	3.6	2.75
	2.38	3.75	2.59
	2.39	3.75	2.59
	2.3	3.64	2.55
	2.2	3.6	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.4)	3.66 ↑ (3.6)	2.65 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hendon
40.3%

Draw
25%

Merthyr Town
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

24.7%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hendon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Hendon - Merthyr Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hendon won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hendon won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Hendon won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hendon
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Hendon - Walton & Hersham	2:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.10.23	Chesham United - Hendon	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Hendon - Dorchester Town	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Hungerford Town - Hendon	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Hendon - Sudbury Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWLW
- Merthyr Town
English FA Trophy
31.10.23	Totton - Merthyr Town	2:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.10.23	Merthyr Town - Winchester City	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Merthyr Town	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Merthyr Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Merthyr Town - Dorchester Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
18.03.23	Merthyr Town - Hendon	1:2
15.11.22	Hendon - Merthyr Town	1:1
23.04.22	Hendon - Merthyr Town	6:0
11.09.21	Merthyr Town - Hendon	0:2
07.12.19	Hendon - Merthyr Town	2:1
16.02.19	Merthyr Town - Hendon	0:2
01.12.18	Hendon - Merthyr Town	3:0

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