Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Hendon		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.1
	2.75	3.6	2.3
	2.78	3.7	2.27
	2.78	3.7	2.27
	2.75	3.5	2.1
	2.81	3.6	2.23
	2.85	3.5	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (3.16)	3.59 ↓ (3.6)	2.2 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hendon
32.9%

Draw
25.6%

Weymouth
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

25.2%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

26.1%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hendon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Weymouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hendon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Weymouth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hendon - Weymouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Weymouth will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hendon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Hendon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hendon
English Southern League South Division
02.12.23	Hendon - Swindon Supermarine	2:3 ✺
25.11.23	Winchester City - Hendon	0:2 ✺
21.11.23	Walton & Hersham - Hendon	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Hendon - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
11.11.23	Gosport Borough - Hendon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWWWL
- Weymouth
English National League South
05.12.23	Torquay United - Weymouth	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Weymouth - Aveley	1:1 ✺
21.11.23	Weymouth - Truro City	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Dover Athletic - Weymouth	4:5 penalties ✺
English National League South
11.11.23	Farnborough - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
09.03.19	Weymouth - Hendon	3:0
26.02.19	Hendon - Weymouth	2:3

Hendon - Weymouth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide