Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 19

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday


	Weymouth		Truro City

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.05
	3.3	3.3	2.1
	3.35	3.2	2.16
	3.4	3.19	2.19	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.05
	3.41	3.3	2.06
	3.3	3.3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.41)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	2.1 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
27.8%

Draw
28.4%

Truro City
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

27.2%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

26.6%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+1%)

Weymouth - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Kabia J. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Harvey T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 0 - 3, Harvey T. ⚽,
57', 0 - 4, Harvey T. ⚽,
74', 1 - 4, Jake McCarthy ⚽,
75', Rowan C. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Weymouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Weymouth have a series of guest games.

Truro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Weymouth won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English National League South
23.11.24	Hornchurch - Weymouth	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Weston-super-Mare - Weymouth	2:3 ✺
English National League South
09.11.24	Weymouth - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
05.11.24	Weston-super-Mare - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Aveley - Weymouth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LWTTW
- Truro City
English National League South
23.11.24	Truro City - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Torquay United - Truro City	1:0 ✺
English National League South
12.11.24	Boreham Wood - Truro City	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Welling United - Truro City	1:2 ✺
05.11.24	Truro City - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
18.04.24	Truro City - Weymouth	0:0
21.11.23	Weymouth - Truro City	2:0
English Southern Premier League
06.04.15	Truro City - Weymouth	2:0
01.01.15	Weymouth - Truro City	1:1
21.04.14	Weymouth - Truro City	2:5
08.04.14	Truro City - Weymouth	2:1

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