Match Info
Catarinense 2 - Round 12Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday
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Hercílio Luz |
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Fluminense-SC |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.17 |
6.00 |
12.50 |
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 |
1.23 |
4.80 |
9.00 |
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 |
1.11 |
6.68 |
17.81 |
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 |
1.19 |
5.57 |
14.26 |
 Watch |
 |
1.10 |
6.60 |
17.00 |
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 |
1.14 |
6.15 |
14.00 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.16 ↓
(1.32) |
5.97 ↑
(4.2) |
14.1 ↑
(7.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hercílio Luz
78.4% | Draw
15.2% | Fluminense-SC
6.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hercílio Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hercílio Luz's performance.Fluminense-SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense-SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hercílio Luz that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense-SC than the current prediction. (+4.4%)Hercílio Luz - Fluminense SC Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Hercílio Luz (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hercílio Luz (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 33', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 63', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 74', (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 82', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+3', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 6).Hercílio Luz is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).Fluminense-SC is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Fluminense-SC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Hercílio Luz is the clear favorite.We predict that Hercílio Luz will win today's game, with odds of 1.33. Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 35:10 | 25 | 42 |
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| 8 | Fluminense-SC | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 21 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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