The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hercílio Luz U20 55.4%
Draw 25.1%
Figueirense U20 19.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.5%
22.7%
18.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.1%
21.7%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hercílio Luz U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Figueirense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hercílio Luz U20 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hercílio Luz U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense U20 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Zappacosta J. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Bauer de Souza A. E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', 3 - 0, Nathan ⚽,
60', 4 - 0, Bauer de Souza A. E. ⚽,
85', 4 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense U20 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
Recent matches Hercílio Luz U20 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Figueirense U20 is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Hercílio Luz U20 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Hercílio Luz U20 is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Hercílio Luz U20 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.