Match Info

National League North - Round 7

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Edgar Street (Hereford)


	Hereford		Bedford Town

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	4.1
	1.65	3.95	4.25
	1.66	4.38	3.98
	7.97	5.18	1.32	Watch
	1.53	4	5.5
	1.65	3.94	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (1.61)	4.2 ↑ (4.03)	3.94 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hereford
43.1%

Draw
27.5%

Bedford Town
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

22.7%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

19.2%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hereford's form might have worsened.

Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bedford Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hereford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bedford Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hereford - Bedford Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Hereford will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hereford will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Blake R. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Marsh T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 1 - 2, D'Ath L. ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, Gibson M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 18 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Hereford has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bedford is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Hereford is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hereford FC
English National League North
30.08.25	Hereford - Alfreton Town	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Radcliffe - Hereford	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Hereford - Chorley	1:4 ✺
19.08.25	Buxton - Hereford	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Hereford - King`s Lynn Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLWL
- Bedford Town
English National League North
30.08.25	Fylde - Bedford Town	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	Bedford Town - South Shields	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Marine - Bedford Town	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Bedford Town - AFC Telford United	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Southport - Bedford Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL

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