Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 30

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Edgar Street (Hereford)


	Hereford		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.5
	2.5	3	2.55
	2.7	3	2.65
	2.78	3.05	2.67
	2.73	3.08	2.68	Watch
	2.62	3	2.62
	2.63	3.3	2.58
	2.7	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.37)	3.08 ↓ (3.27)	2.61 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hereford
34.8%

Draw
29.9%

Brackley Town
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

28.1%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

29.4%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hereford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Hereford - Brackley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Hall C. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Williams A. ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, Williams A. (Pen),
70', 2 - 2, Lowe M. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Andoh L. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hereford won 2.

Hereford is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brackley is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brackley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Brackley have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Hereford won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:18 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Hereford won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hereford FC
English National League North
28.01.25	Peterborough Sports - Hereford	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Radcliffe - Hereford	3:2 ✺
18.01.25	Hereford - Southport	1:1 ✺
01.01.25	Leamington - Hereford	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Hereford - Kidderminster Harriers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTLL
- Brackley Town
English National League North
25.01.25	Brackley Town - Spennymoor Town	4:1 ✺
21.01.25	Scunthorpe United - Brackley Town	3:2 ✺
18.01.25	Curzon Ashton - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
14.01.25	Alfreton Town - Brackley Town	3:4 ✺
01.01.25	Oxford City - Brackley Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
31.08.24	Brackley Town - Hereford	1:2
16.03.24	Brackley Town - Hereford	2:0
07.11.23	Hereford - Brackley Town	1:0
10.04.23	Hereford - Brackley Town	2:2
13.09.22	Brackley Town - Hereford	2:1
02.05.22	Hereford - Brackley Town	2:2
08.01.22	Brackley Town - Hereford	1:0

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