Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 27

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Tameside Stadium (Ashton-under-Lyne)


	Curzon Ashton		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.75
	2.25	3	2.87
	2.35	3.1	3
	2.36	3.26	2.99	Watch
	2.45	3	2.9
	2.3	3.18	3
	2.35	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.3)	3.15 ↓ (3.4)	2.93 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curzon Ashton
39.5%

Draw
29.2%

Brackley Town
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

26.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

26.9%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curzon Ashton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Brackley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Curzon Ashton - Brackley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, Lowe M. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Curzon Ashton won 3.

Recent matches Curzon Ashton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brackley is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brackley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Curzon Ashton won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13:27 (average 0.7:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Curzon Ashton won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:9 (average 0.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
01.01.25	Alfreton Town - Curzon Ashton	0:1 ✺
26.12.24	Curzon Ashton - Farsley	1:3 ✺
21.12.24	Leamington - Curzon Ashton	4:1 ✺
14.12.24	Curzon Ashton - South Shields	3:0 ✺
10.12.24	Warrington Town - Curzon Ashton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWW
- Brackley Town
English National League North
14.01.25	Alfreton Town - Brackley Town	3:4 ✺
01.01.25	Oxford City - Brackley Town	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Brackley Town - Leamington	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Farsley - Brackley Town	1:1 ✺
17.12.24	Brackley Town - King`s Lynn Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
24.08.24	Brackley Town - Curzon Ashton	4:0
16.12.23	Curzon Ashton - Brackley Town	2:0
23.09.23	Brackley Town - Curzon Ashton	0:2
11.03.23	Curzon Ashton - Brackley Town	3:1
12.11.22	Brackley Town - Curzon Ashton	1:0
05.04.22	Curzon Ashton - Brackley Town	0:0
20.11.21	Brackley Town - Curzon Ashton	0:0

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