Match Info
National League North - Round 17Date: 8 November 2025, SaturdayLocation: Edgar Street (Hereford)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Hereford |
|
Southport |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.8 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
|
 |
1.88 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
|
 |
1.83 |
3.64 |
4.08 |
|
 |
1.62 |
4.31 |
4.40 |
 Watch |
 |
1.85 |
3.42 |
3.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.62) |
3.67 ↓
(4.31) |
3.91 ↓
(4.4) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hereford
51.3% | Draw
25.1% | Southport
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hereford's form might have worsened.Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hereford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-4.3%)Hereford - Southport Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 29', 0 - 1, Lloyd D. ⚽,
- 38', Edwards C. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Slew J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 85', 1 - 2, Hamilton H. ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 and 24 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hereford won 3.Hereford is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).Southport has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Southport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Hereford is seen as the favorite.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Hereford won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.5:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Hereford won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English National League North | | | 18.01.25 | Hereford - Southport | 1:1 | | 24.08.24 | Southport - Hereford | 1:4 | | 24.02.24 | Southport - Hereford | 1:2 | | 02.09.23 | Hereford - Southport | 0:1 | | 25.02.23 | Southport - Hereford | 0:1 | | 07.02.23 | Hereford - Southport | 2:0 | | 26.02.22 | Hereford - Southport | 0:1 |
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