Match Info

National League - Round 44

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Attis Arena (Scunthorpe)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Scunthorpe United		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	1.48	4	5.75
	1.47	4.45	5.7
	1.56	4.46	5.2
	1.46	4.5	6.17	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.52	4.11	5.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.46)	4.25 ↓ (4.39)	5.71 ↓ (6.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scunthorpe United
61.9%

Draw
21.8%

Brackley Town
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

21.2%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

20.3%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Scunthorpe United - Brackley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jones L. (G) 11. Rowley J. 3. Horton B. 5. Evans W. 33. Denton T. 10. Roberts C. 25. Westbrooke Z. 20. Scales K. 17. Ewing O. 14. Jones P. 9. Whitehall D.	30. Rhone H. (G) 12. Nottingham M. 6. Dean G. 19. Lilly Z. 2. Lyttle T. 34. Tripp C. 23. Byrne S. 17. Elliott-Wheeler A. 7. Pollock S. 11. Lowe M. 10. Roberts M.
Substitutes
8. Beestin A. 4. Belehouan J. 16. Dausch A. 22. Dawson J. 7. Howe D. 38. Mahady R. (G) 32. Smith C.	8. Brown Z. 27. Hall C. 29. Harratt K. 1. Maxted J. (G) 5. Morrison K. 15. Wodskou B. 13. Worby A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Roberts C. ⚽,
32', Byrne S. 🟨,
37', Lilly Z. 🟨,
39', Elliott-Wheeler A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Lilly Z. ↓, Wodskou B. ↑,
55', Byrne S. ↓, Brown Z. ↑,
59', Rowley J. 🟨,
68', Ewing O. ↓, Beestin A. ↑,
74', Tripp C. ↓, Morrison K. ↑,
78', Whitehall D. ↓, Howe D. ↑,
79', Denton T. ↓, Belehouan J. ↑,
79', Jones P. ↓, Dausch A. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Scunthorpe won 3.

Scunthorpe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brackley is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Scunthorpe is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Scunthorpe won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Scunthorpe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Scunthorpe	11	3	1	7	15:19	-4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scunthorpe United
English National League
06.04.26	Gateshead - Scunthorpe United	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Scunthorpe United - Hartlepool United	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Halifax Town - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Scunthorpe United - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Braintree Town - Scunthorpe United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWTW
- Brackley Town
English National League
06.04.26	Brackley Town - Boston United	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Forest Green Rovers - Brackley Town	4:0 ✺
28.03.26	Brackley Town - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
24.03.26	Brackley Town - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	York City - Brackley Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
30.08.25	Brackley Town - Scunthorpe United	1:1
English National League North
21.01.25	Scunthorpe United - Brackley Town	3:2
10.08.24	Brackley Town - Scunthorpe United	0:3
13.01.24	Brackley Town - Scunthorpe United	2:0
07.10.23	Scunthorpe United - Brackley Town	1:0
English FA Cup
19.09.23	Brackley Town - Scunthorpe United	3:1
16.09.23	Scunthorpe United - Brackley Town	0:0

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