Match Info

National League North - Round 31

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Edgar Street (Hereford)


	Hereford		Fylde

	1	X	2
	6	4.75	1.36
	5.9	4.85	1.4
	6.98	4.9	1.4
	5.13	4.54	1.53	Watch
	6.5	4.5	1.4
	7.22	4.65	1.34
	3.5	3.6	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.89 ↑ (3.48)	4.54 ↑ (4.09)	1.48 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hereford
15.9%

Draw
20.6%

Fylde
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

22.7%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

21.9%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hereford's form might have worsened.

Fylde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fylde's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hereford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fylde, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hereford - Fylde Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fylde (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Fylde (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fylde (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Felipe ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Mayor D. ⚽,
38', 0 - 3, Whelan T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 0 - 4, Thomas L. ⚽,
90', 1 - 4, Sohna H. ⚽,

Preview

Postponed due to waterlogged pitch.

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hereford won 2.

Hereford has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Fylde has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fylde may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fylde will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hereford won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hereford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).

Outrights of English National League North for now

Hereford: 11.21%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hereford	10	7	2	1	22:5	17	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hereford FC
English National League North
14.03.26	Hereford - South Shields	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Hereford - Leamington	5:1 ✺
07.03.26	Worksop Town - Hereford	2:3 ✺
03.03.26	Scarborough Athletic - Hereford	0:0 ✺
24.02.26	Hereford - Chester	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWTW
- AFC Fylde
English National League North
14.03.26	Fylde - King`s Lynn Town	4:1 ✺
10.03.26	Fylde - AFC Telford United	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Leamington - Fylde	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	South Shields - Fylde	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Fylde - Curzon Ashton	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Hereford - Fylde	2:3 penalties
English National League North
25.10.25	Fylde - Hereford	2:1
21.02.23	Fylde - Hereford	1:3
25.10.22	Hereford - Fylde	2:1
09.04.22	Fylde - Hereford	2:1
28.08.21	Hereford - Fylde	1:4
12.12.20	Hereford - Fylde	2:1

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