Match Info

National League North - Round 18

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Mounting Systems Stadium (Bridlington)


	Scarborough Athletic		Hereford

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.6
	2.2	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.72
	2.47	3.43	2.72
	2.24	3.7	2.84	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.63
	2.38	3.62	2.69
	1.9	3.4	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.95)	3.47 ↓ (3.6)	2.82 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scarborough Athletic
40.6%

Draw
26.6%

Hereford
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

25.3%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

24%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scarborough Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Scarborough Athletic's form might have worsened.

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Scarborough Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hereford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Scarborough Athletic - Hereford Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Scarborough will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Hereford will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Scarborough: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Scarborough (votes: 2 - 50%). Hereford (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Hereford (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Hereford (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Scarborough (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Hereford (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Scarborough won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Recently, Scarborough has had a series of away games.

Scarborough might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Scarborough won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Scarborough won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).

Outrights of English National League North for now

Hereford: 11.21%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hereford	10	7	2	1	22:5	17	23
14	Scarborough	10	3	3	4	15:12	3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Hereford - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 27.94%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
28.02.26	Scarborough Athletic - Macclesfield Town	2:2 ✺
24.02.26	Alfreton Town - Scarborough Athletic	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Hereford - Scarborough Athletic	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Scarborough Athletic - Curzon Ashton	1:0 ✺
10.02.26	Scarborough Athletic - South Shields	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLWWT
- Hereford FC
English National League North
24.02.26	Hereford - Chester	5:2 ✺
21.02.26	Hereford - Scarborough Athletic	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Hereford - Darlington	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Southport - Hereford	5:1 ✺
10.02.26	AFC Telford United - Hereford	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.02.26	Hereford - Scarborough Athletic	1:2
15.03.25	Scarborough Athletic - Hereford	1:0
17.12.24	Hereford - Scarborough Athletic	1:0
06.01.24	Scarborough Athletic - Hereford	3:0
28.11.23	Hereford - Scarborough Athletic	3:1
07.01.23	Hereford - Scarborough Athletic	2:0
13.08.22	Scarborough Athletic - Hereford	1:0

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