The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hereford 40.3%
Draw 26.7%
Scarborough Athletic 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
27%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
27.3%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hereford's performance.
Scarborough Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Scarborough Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hereford that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scarborough Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hereford - Scarborough Athletic Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Hereford (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hereford (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Allan R. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Walker S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 2, Hudson L. ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hereford won 3.
Recent form of Hereford has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Scarborough is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Hereford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Hereford has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hereford won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Hereford won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Hereford: 11.21%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Hereford
10
7
2
1
22:5
17
23
14
Scarborough
10
3
3
4
15:12
3
12
Last Results with these Odds
Hereford - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.12%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.