Match Info

National League North - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Haig Avenue (Southport)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
Japan	DAZN Japan
Paraguay	DAZN
Sweden	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN


	Southport		Hereford

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.38
	2.35	3.25	2.55
	2.45	3.35	2.52
	2.64	3.55	2.5
	2.57	3.54	2.52	Watch
	2.6	3.45	2.45
	2.58	3.57	2.5
	2.45	3.4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.3)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	2.49 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southport
36.5%

Draw
26.7%

Hereford
36.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39%

26.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

27%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Southport - Hereford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 0 - 1, Skinner A. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Perritt H. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southport won 2.

Recent performances by Southport have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hereford is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Hereford has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Southport won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Southport won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hereford	11	7	2	2	22:6	16	23
22	Southport	12	2	3	7	13:23	-10	9

Outrights of English National League North for now

Hereford: 6.64% Southport: 0.73%

Last Results with these Odds

Southport - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.05%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
English National League North
29.08.26	Scarborough Athletic - Southport	5:1 ✺
22.08.26	Southport - Bedford Town	4:1 ✺
18.08.26	Hednesford Town - Southport	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Southport - Buxton	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Southport - Wigan Athletic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWTTT
- Hereford FC
English National League North
29.08.26	Hereford - Chester	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Worksop Town - Hereford	0:3 ✺
18.08.26	Hereford - Radcliffe	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Hereford - Marine	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Hereford - Shrewsbury Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
14.02.26	Southport - Hereford	5:1
08.11.25	Hereford - Southport	1:2
18.01.25	Hereford - Southport	1:1
24.08.24	Southport - Hereford	1:4
24.02.24	Southport - Hereford	1:2
02.09.23	Hereford - Southport	0:1
25.02.23	Southport - Hereford	0:1

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