Match Info

Superliga - Round 21

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadionul Municipal (Sibiu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV


	Hermannstadt		Petrolul Ploieşti

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.7	3.1	Watch
	2.35	2.95	3
	2.52	2.72	3
	2.48	2.91	3.19
	2.63	2.85	3.01	Watch
	2.63	2.75	2.9
	2.57	2.83	3.25	Watch
	2.62	2.85	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.42)	2.82 ↓ (3)	3.06 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hermannstadt
36.7%

Draw
32.9%

Petrolul Ploieşti
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

30.5%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

29.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hermannstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Petrolul Ploieşti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermannstadt than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrolul Ploieşti than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	50%	28.6%

Hermannstadt - Petrolul Ploieşti Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Hermannstadt will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Ploiesti will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hermannstadt (votes: 2 - 50%). Ploiesti (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cabuz C. (G) 66. Capusa T. 3. Karo A. 4. Stoica I. (C) 98. Ciubotaru K. 13. Albu D. 16. Issah S. 7. Jair 9. Chitu A. 11. Bus S. 51. Oroian A.	41. Krell S. (G) 24. Ricardinho 4. Papp P. 42. Guilherme 18. Salceanu R. 88. Dulca M. 5. Dongmo D. 6. Jyry T. 11. Gheorghe V. 9. Chica-Rosa A. 7. Grozav G. (C)
Substitutes
30. Antwi N. 27. Barstan I. 21. Batista D. 29. Biceanu C. 20. Gandila I. 23. Mihart I. 31. Mutiu V. (G) 22. Pop I. (G) 77. Stancu L. 17. Vuc P.	1. Balbarau R. (G) 36. Botogan A. 81. Constantinescu M. 19. Doumtsios K. 23. Dudu 97. Dumitrache A. 44. Dumitriu L. 20. Hanca S. 64. Marian B. 25. Onguene J. 21. Paraschiv D. 30. Tolea I.
Coaches
Munteanu D.	Neagoe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Papp P. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Jyry T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Capusa T. ↓, Antwi N. ↑,
46', Jair ↓, Stancu L. ↑,
60', Grozav G. ↓, Botogan A. ↑,
64', Salceanu R. 🟨,
69', Issah S. ↓, Batista D. ↑,
76', Gheorghe V. ↓, Hanca S. ↑,
80', Ricardinho 🟨,
82', Oroian A. ↓, Vuc P. ↑,
84', Krell S. 🟨,
85', Munteanu D. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Stoica I. ⚽, Stancu L. (A),
90', Chitu A. 🟨,
90+2', Stoica I. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hermannstadt won 0.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Hermannstadt: Balaure S. (Muscle Injury) Bejan F. (Yellow Cards) Kujabi K. (Injury) Negut C. (Yellow Cards) Selimovic V. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ploiesti: Fabricio Baiano (Knee Injury) Ludewig K. (Ankle Injury) Marian B. (Inactive) Prce F. (Inactive) Roche Y. (International duty) Ticu V. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Hermannstadt: Stoica I. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hermannstadt won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Hermannstadt won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Hermannstadt - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.78%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Petrolul Ploieşti - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.75%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hermannstadt
Romanian SuperLiga
14.12.25	Hermannstadt - Universitatea Craiova	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Universitatea Cluj - Hermannstadt	3:0 ✺
Romanian Cup
03.12.25	Botoșani - Hermannstadt	1:3 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
30.11.25	Hermannstadt - UTA Arad	1:2 ✺
24.11.25	Metaloglobus Bucureşti - Hermannstadt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWLT
- Petrolul Ploieşti
Romanian SuperLiga
14.12.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Universitatea Cluj	0:1 ✺
08.12.25	UTA Arad - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:0 ✺
Romanian Cup
04.12.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Universitatea Craiova	0:4 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
01.12.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Metaloglobus Bucureşti	4:1 ✺
22.11.25	FCSB - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
16.08.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Hermannstadt	1:1
11.04.25	Hermannstadt - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1
09.02.25	Hermannstadt - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1
27.09.24	Petrolul Ploieşti - Hermannstadt	4:1
Club Friendly
26.06.24	Hermannstadt - Petrolul Ploieşti	0:1
Romanian SuperLiga
25.04.24	Hermannstadt - Petrolul Ploieşti	2:0
11.02.24	Hermannstadt - Petrolul Ploieşti	0:0

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