Match Info

Superliga - Relegation Group - Round 8

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: Metaloglobus Stadium (Bucharest)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Romania	Digi Online, Orange TV Go


	Metaloglobus Bucureşti		Hermannstadt

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.4	Watch
	6.1	4.25	1.45
	6.74	4.93	1.41
	6.05	4.8	1.45	Watch
	6	4.5	1.4
	6.93	4.65	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.39 ↑ (4.95)	4.61 ↑ (3.6)	1.42 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metaloglobus Bucureşti
14.5%

Draw
20.1%

Hermannstadt
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

25.3%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

24.4%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metaloglobus Bucureşti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Hermannstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hermannstadt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metaloglobus Bucureşti than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hermannstadt than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hermannstadt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Metaloglobus Bucureşti - Hermannstadt Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hermannstadt will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gavrilas G. (C) 18. Tirlea A. 30. Camara A. 99. Badescu R. 22. Neacsu R. 8. Purece F. 6. Carvalho B. 5. Sabater D. 17. Abbey M. 9. Visic S. 24. Zakir Y.	1. Lazar D. (G) 77. Stancu L. 2. Chorbadzhiyski B. 4. Stoica I. (C) 98. Ciubotaru K. 96. Balaure S. 36. Zargary A. 23. Florescu E. 9. Chitu A. 19. Gjorgjievski M. 10. Negut C.
Substitutes
75. Cestor M. 23. Dumitru G. 10. Fernandes E. 14. Gheorghe A. 20. Ghimfus G. 11. Huiban D. 15. Irimia A. 7. Lis L. 34. Nedelcovici C. N. (G) 33. Soare A. (G) 16. Toutou M.	15. Afalna C. 8. Albu D. 11. Bus S. 66. Capusa T. 16. Issah S. 31. Mutiu V. (G) 22. Pop I. (G) 29. Ritivoi S. 70. Simba M.
Coaches
Bratu F.	Munteanu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Ciubotaru K. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Abbey M. ⚽, Sabater D. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Negut C. ⚽, Gjorgjievski M. (A),
32', Ciubotaru K. ↓, Capusa T. ↑,
35', Florescu E. ↓, Afalna C. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gavrilas G. ↓, Nedelcovici C. N. ↑,
46', Gjorgjievski M. ↓, Bus S. ↑,
46', Badescu R. ↓, Dumitru G. ↑,
61', Dumitru G. 🟨,
69', Zargary A. ↓, Albu D. ↑,
69', Chitu A. ↓, Simba M. ↑,
69', Visic S. ↓, Huiban D. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Sabater D. ⚽, Zakir Y. (A),
76', Zakir Y. ↓, Fernandes E. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Nedelcovici C. N. (Own goal),
88', Abbey M. ↓, Irimia A. ↑,

Preview

Metaloglobus has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hermannstadt has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Metaloglobus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hermannstadt is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Metaloglobus: Caramalau G. (Injury) Maranhao J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Hermannstadt: Barstan I. (Inactive) Batista D. (Inactive) Ivanov A. (Inactive) Jair (Inactive) Karo A. (Injury) Kujabi K. (Injury) Politic D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Hermannstadt: Florescu E. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metaloglobus won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Metaloglobus won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metaloglobus Bucureşti
Romanian SuperLiga
02.05.26	Oţelul Galaţi - Metaloglobus Bucureşti	2:2 ✺
27.04.26	Metaloglobus Bucureşti - Unirea Slobozia	1:1 ✺
20.04.26	Botoșani - Metaloglobus Bucureşti	3:2 ✺
13.04.26	Metaloglobus Bucureşti - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	UTA Arad - Metaloglobus Bucureşti	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTLLL
- AFC Hermannstadt
Romanian SuperLiga
04.05.26	Unirea Slobozia - Hermannstadt	2:2 ✺
24.04.26	Hermannstadt - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Petrolul Ploieşti - Hermannstadt	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Hermannstadt - Farul Constanța	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Oţelul Galaţi - Hermannstadt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
24.11.25	Metaloglobus Bucureşti - Hermannstadt	1:1
18.07.25	Hermannstadt - Metaloglobus Bucureşti	2:2
Romanian Division 2
19.08.21	Metaloglobus Bucureşti - Hermannstadt	1:1
16.05.18	Hermannstadt - Metaloglobus Bucureşti	0:0
08.11.17	Metaloglobus Bucureşti - Hermannstadt	0:3

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