The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Herrera 38.7%
Draw 29.3%
Potros del Este 32%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
28.3%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
28.1%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Herrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Potros del Este has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herrera than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potros del Este than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Herrera - Potros del Este Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Guerra J. (G) 3. Gomez E. 4. Jimenez Abdiel 49. Hall J. 15. Quintero K. 5. Walker E. 6. Bethancourt F. 10. Caicedo A. 20. Pimentel V. 7. Villarreal R. 14. Zuniga L.
1. Rivas L. (G) 13. Simmons V. 2. Garcia J. 18. Gargonia J. 22. Hernandez I. 14. Ford R. 17. Simmons V. 11. Perez R. 10. De Los Rios A. 20. McKenzie A. 99. Gallardo J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Gallardo J. ⚽,
32', Villarreal R. ↓, Grisales D. ↑,
39', Yau M. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
45+6', Gallardo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Bethancourt F. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
58', Walker E. ↓, Florez E. ↑,
62', McKenzie A. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
65', Barrera J. 🟨,
77', 🟨,
78', Gallardo J. ↓, Gargonia J. ↑,
90+7', 🟨,
90+8', Garcia J. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Herrera won 1.
Herrera is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Potros del Este is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Potros del Este could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Herrera have a series of guest games.
Recently Potros del Este have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Herrera won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:17 (average 1.3:2.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Herrera won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.5:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Potros del Este - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 33.11%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.