The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Herrera 18.3%
Draw 23.6%
San Francisco 58%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.6%
26.4%
49%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.8%
26.6%
48.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Herrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Herrera's form might have worsened.
San Francisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Francisco's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herrera than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Herrera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Francisco than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Francisco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Herrera - San Francisco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Roman S. (G)
17. Betegon J.
6. Bethancourt F.
33. Conquet J.
10. Cox Goods J. C.
22. Gomez E.
4. Moreno M.
3. Rivas J.
27. Rivera J.
14. Triana L.
7. Villarreal R.
Substitutes
15. Buelvas A.
24. De Gracia J.
11. Gonzalez J.
20. Lopez J.
2. Nunez S.
19. Penalba A.
12. Santamaria I. (G)
25. Tenorio D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
39', 1 - 0, Betegon J. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Dinolis R. ⚽,
45+4', Villarreal R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Lopez J. ↓, Medina V. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Medina V. ⚽,
75', 1 - 3, Dinolis R. ⚽,
79', 🟥,
81', Browne O. ↓, French R. ↑,
86', Bonilla K. ↓, Simmons V. ↑,
86', Dinolis R. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
90', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Herrera won 0.
Herrera is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
San Francisco has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
San Francisco may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
San Francisco is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Herrera has recorded 2 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:30 (averaging 0.8:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Herrera against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with 6:11 goals (averaging 0.6:1.1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Herrera - the odds 3.65 are the expected chance of winning is 24.58%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Roman S. (G) 
Betegon J. 
Bet ยฃ10 and get ยฃ30 in Free Bets
