Match Info

LPF - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Los Milagros (Llano Bonito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Panama	Tigo Sports


	Herrera		San Francisco

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.25	1.85
	3.6	3.25	1.88
	3.86	3.3	1.88
	3.84	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.6	3.2	1.85
	3.69	3.52	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (3.88)	3.34 ↓ (3.49)	1.87 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Herrera
24.4%

Draw
27.1%

San Francisco
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

26.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

25.9%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

San Francisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herrera than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Francisco than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Herrera - San Francisco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Santamaria I. (G) 29. Aristizabal J. 18. Castillo D. 11. Gonzalez E. 10. Gonzalez J. 17. Herrera J. 4. Moreno M. 40. Perez P. 27. Rivera J. 25. Tenorio D. 64. Valencia B.	12. Frias J. (G) 17. Benitez G. 8. Carrasquilla E. 62. Galvan K. 99. Garces S. 5. Gargonia J. 38. Lashley W. 26. Ortiz L. 10. Pinzon D. 2. Rodriguez R. 15. Triana L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', (Penalty Awarded),
27', 1 - 0, Herrera J. ⚽,
32', 🟨,
39', 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Garces S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lashley W. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Garces S. ⚽,
59', 🟨,
63', Galvan K. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
69', Triana L. ↓, Rangel E. ↑,
88', Pinzon D. ↓, Gomez Y. ↑,
89', Garces S. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Herrera won 0.

Herrera is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

San Francisco has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

San Francisco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, San Francisco is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Herrera won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Herrera won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Herrera FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
20.04.26	Independiente de la Chorrera - Herrera	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Herrera - Veraguas	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Deportivo Universitario - Herrera	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Herrera - Alianza Panama	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	UMECIT - Herrera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLLL
- San Francisco FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
19.04.26	Union Cocle - San Francisco	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Independiente de la Chorrera - San Francisco	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	San Francisco - Veraguas	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Sporting San Miguelito - San Francisco	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	San Francisco - Tauro	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
23.01.26	San Francisco - Herrera	2:2
24.10.25	San Francisco - Herrera	1:0
10.08.25	Herrera - San Francisco	0:1
11.04.25	San Francisco - Herrera	1:1
09.02.25	Herrera - San Francisco	0:1
26.10.24	San Francisco - Herrera	1:0
11.08.24	Herrera - San Francisco	3:3

Upcoming Matches